Bibi Netanyahu Was the Iran Deal’s Most Effective Salesman
The much-anticipated reaction of the Iranian hardliners to last weeks nuclear deal has been pretty muted so far. The New York Times reports today on a hastily thrown-together press conference of conservative analysts whove gone through the text of the agreement to find places where it supposedly crosses previously established red lines. And the previously highly critical hardliner newspaper Kayhan has offered some mild criticism. But with the supreme leader giving his tepid endorsement to the work of President Hassan Rouhani and his negotiators, not to mention strong public support for a deal to bring sanctions relief, its hard to imagine this grumbling having much effect.
One reason for the muted response? Iranian political analyst Saeed Leilaz suggests to the AP that Irans hard-liners dont want to be seen as (an) ally of (Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu these days. As one Tehran resident quoted by the AP puts it, There are three groups of people in the world who are against the deal: War-mongering Republicans in the U.S., Netanyahu and hard-liners in Iran.
Proponents of the deal were playing up Netanyahus opposition even before it was signed, with former President Ali Akbar Rafsanjani, an ally of Rouhani, saying that hardliners speak Netanyahus language. When the framework agreement was signed back in April, supporters in the streets of Tehran chanted Kayhan, Israel, our condolences, putting the conservative paper and Irans arch-enemy in the same category.
Even in the U.S., Netanyahus vociferous opposition may have helped smooth the deals path. The prime ministers speech to Congress in April at the invitation of Republican leaders appalled many Democrats and likely led at least some to overcome their normal resistance to supporting something strongly opposed by the Israeli government. For instance, after signing on to a pledge last January not to support new sanctions on Iran while negotiators were still working out the framework agreement Sen. Joe Manchin, a conservative Democrat and frequent critic of the White House who had previously supported new sanctions, said that the invitation had shifted the dynamic and that For the prime minister to accept made it extremely political.
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