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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:20 AM Mar 2015

Hillary Clinton leads all Republican challengers in Florida by 2-8 points



Hillary Clinton has leads of 2-8 points over all of the potential GOP contenders in the
state. Rubio comes the closest at just a 48/46 deficit and Bush is down by a similar
margin at 47/44. Rand Paul trails by 4 at 46/42, Mike Huckabee's down 5 at 49/44, Chris
Christie and Ted Cruz each trail by 7 at 48/41 and 49/42 respectively, and Ben Carson
(49/41), Rick Perry (50/42), and Scott Walker (49/41) all lag Clinton by 8 points.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_FL_32415.pdf


There is simply no realistic path to the White House for Republicans without the Sunshine State.
63 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Hillary Clinton leads all Republican challengers in Florida by 2-8 points (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 OP
In other news Android3.14 Mar 2015 #1
I don't believe I suggested she is the only Democrat capable of defeating the Republican... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #2
Yes. In fact, Hillary the least likely 2 win Fla if only a 2 pt lead on that criminal douchebag Rubio... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2015 #8
Do you have polling that suggests that other Democrats are leading? DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #10
Referrin 2 Hillary's dreadful poll#s 20 mos out against a crook, Rubio. Hillary w/ 97% name recognition & only dead even w/in margin of error is a bad sign... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2015 #48
You don't think Rubio has near universal name recognition in the state of Florida among voters?/NT DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #49
No, not universal; certainly not close 2 Hillary. But forget Rubio then, how u explain Rand Paul already w/in the margin of error (4 pts)? InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2015 #50
You don't think Florida voters know who Marco Rubio is. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #51
Agree it will be close with a viable Democratic candidate? Who you like OTHER than Hillary? InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2015 #52
Joe Biden is my second choice. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #53
sure hope he does a better job with his #2 this time DrDan Mar 2015 #59
Yeah, can't forget bout LIEberman. Gotta believe Al has matured in his progressive thinking & even he wud rethink that poor #2 choice. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2015 #60
Yes. You did. Android3.14 Mar 2015 #11
I did, then you can point it out. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #12
I despise intentional ignorance Android3.14 Mar 2015 #14
What does my choice of a title... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #16
Perhaps you can identify this ... 1StrongBlackMan Mar 2015 #7
Android imagines 1SBM at his keyboard Android3.14 Mar 2015 #13
Do you see any incongruity between your remarks about your interlocutor... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #18
Think about it a little more closely Android3.14 Mar 2015 #32
Priceless considering your sig line. NCTraveler Mar 2015 #19
There are other ways to read that sig line Android3.14 Mar 2015 #35
I wouldn't really go that route. NCTraveler Mar 2015 #44
Predictable! leftofcool Mar 2015 #34
Then Android3.14 has quite the imagination ... 1StrongBlackMan Mar 2015 #41
Do you think Henry Kissenger will campaign with her in Florida? LondonReign2 Mar 2015 #3
Do you? DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #4
No, I suspect she will try to hide this association instead LondonReign2 Mar 2015 #5
Why don't you contact him and/or her and share with them your perspicacity. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #6
Wouldn't surprise me in the least. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2015 #9
About the same percentage chance.... NCTraveler Mar 2015 #21
She actually voted to make him National Security Advisor and Sec Of State... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #24
Very interesting information. NCTraveler Mar 2015 #26
Are you inferring that Hillary understands her past errors re Kissenger? LondonReign2 Mar 2015 #39
I wasn't making inference at all. NCTraveler Mar 2015 #43
Ah, right. Anyone that points out that Hillary has close ties to Kissenger LondonReign2 Mar 2015 #45
What game. NCTraveler Mar 2015 #46
Where do they stand NOW? LondonReign2 Mar 2015 #47
Hillary got my Florida primary vote last time. Even though it did not count. djean111 Mar 2015 #15
How dare her for being ahead! hrmjustin Mar 2015 #17
It seems it is upsetting some people. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #20
At this point I think s lot of the posters who don't want her to be the nominee are not happy hrmjustin Mar 2015 #22
I don't see anybody being prohibited from running. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #25
Well said. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #28
I don't belong to the "HRC or else" school... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #29
Fair enough. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #30
Their hearts are in the right place but folks will do what folks will do... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #31
I also see the Senate and House in our hands if she is the nominee. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #33
I haven't looked closely lately DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #36
TBD but it can go Democratic. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #37
Since all bills originate in the House there will be a lot of gridlock./NT DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #38
2-8 points lead over a year and a half before the election is not exactly reassuring. cali Mar 2015 #23
Yet in her own home state she is leading her Republican challengers by thirty points DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #27
It's a joke because... JackRiddler Mar 2015 #62
Good post, facts are facts, ready for Hillary. Thinkingabout Mar 2015 #40
These are not facts. JackRiddler Mar 2015 #63
"Two points" translates to "close enough to steal" for Republicans. bullwinkle428 Mar 2015 #42
Well, she is the best Republican on the ticket. [n/t] Maedhros Mar 2015 #54
Perspicacious./NT DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #55
2-8% is nothing. Actually that is quite disturbing. still_one Mar 2015 #56
Barack Obama carried it by .09% in 012/ FL is actually more red than purple... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #57
It did not used to be that way still_one Mar 2015 #58
Is this any better than Generic Democrat? JackRiddler Mar 2015 #61
 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
1. In other news
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:25 AM
Mar 2015

My 17-year old would lead the Republican challengers.
The idea that the only person who can beat the Republicans is this weak excuse of a candidate is stupid. We can find a real challenger that reflects real Democratic values and beat these stupid, racist, wealth-stealing assholes. If the DNC and DLC cannot fashion a campaign narrative to win this election to place a true Democrat in the Oval Office, then that was the plan from the start.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
2. I don't believe I suggested she is the only Democrat capable of defeating the Republican...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:29 AM
Mar 2015

I don't believe I suggested she is the only Democrat capable of defeating the Republican, am I right?

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,125 posts)
8. Yes. In fact, Hillary the least likely 2 win Fla if only a 2 pt lead on that criminal douchebag Rubio...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:49 AM
Mar 2015

Wait til Hillary starts campaigning; her poll numbers will sink even further.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
10. Do you have polling that suggests that other Democrats are leading?
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:54 AM
Mar 2015

Do you have polling that suggests that other Democrats are leading a sitting senator and a popular ex governor who left office with an approval ratings in the 60s in their own state (Florida) ?

Thank you in advance.

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,125 posts)
48. Referrin 2 Hillary's dreadful poll#s 20 mos out against a crook, Rubio. Hillary w/ 97% name recognition & only dead even w/in margin of error is a bad sign...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 04:17 PM
Mar 2015

...and considering Hillary's history of tanking in the polls as soon as she enters the race and starts campaigning poorly, as is her history, that reality is obviously very concerning. All I'm sayin.

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,125 posts)
50. No, not universal; certainly not close 2 Hillary. But forget Rubio then, how u explain Rand Paul already w/in the margin of error (4 pts)?
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 04:27 PM
Mar 2015

Rand Paul is a virtual unknown and Hillary's negatives will only continue to climb.

It's time for the Dems to rethink coronating Hillary and start lookin for an alternative. I hear Al Gore is thinkin bout making anotha run.

Would make a worthy opponent, among others.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
51. You don't think Florida voters know who Marco Rubio is.
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 04:34 PM
Mar 2015

That's the universe of voters that is being measured.


BTW, Barack Obama carried FL by .09% so of course it's going to close.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
53. Joe Biden is my second choice.
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 04:42 PM
Mar 2015

After that, i will vote for the Democrat as I always do but I won't be emotionally invested.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
59. sure hope he does a better job with his #2 this time
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 06:01 PM
Mar 2015

he sure went down in my favorables with that choice

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,125 posts)
60. Yeah, can't forget bout LIEberman. Gotta believe Al has matured in his progressive thinking & even he wud rethink that poor #2 choice.
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 06:08 PM
Mar 2015

Last edited Fri Mar 27, 2015, 06:43 PM - Edit history (1)

 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
14. I despise intentional ignorance
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 11:43 AM
Mar 2015

Last edited Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:57 PM - Edit history (1)

The title of the OP is
Hillary Clinton leads all Republican challengers in Florida by 2-8 points

But the title of the actual article is
Floridians Not Big On Bush, Rubio White House Bids

You are welcome.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
16. What does my choice of a title...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 11:51 AM
Mar 2015

What does my choice of a title have to do with your suggestion that I stated that Secretary Of State Clinton is the only Democratic candidate who can win the presidency in 2016?


The title is a function of the fact that I believe "Hillary Clinton leads all Republican challengers in Florida by 2-8 points" is the most important finding of the poll...



"Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar."

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
7. Perhaps you can identify this ...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:44 AM
Mar 2015

real challenger that reflects real Democratic values, that has expressed an interest in running in 2016.

Then, discuss what you are doing to support this real challenger that reflects real Democratic values. Why leave it up to the DNC and DLC, that you so clearly distrust?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
18. Do you see any incongruity between your remarks about your interlocutor...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:11 PM
Mar 2015

Do you see any incongruity between your remarks about your interlocutor and the quotation in your signature?

 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
32. Think about it a little more closely
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:43 PM
Mar 2015

I never said the person doing the mocking was philosophically impotent.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
44. I wouldn't really go that route.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 02:06 PM
Mar 2015

Actually sounds worse than simply being hypocritical. Take your pick. Original intent and current reading on your part aren't very flattering. Both are also pretty funny.

LondonReign2

(5,213 posts)
5. No, I suspect she will try to hide this association instead
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 10:37 AM
Mar 2015

Which is a little odd, don't you think? She should be proud of her buddy

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
24. She actually voted to make him National Security Advisor and Sec Of State...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:20 PM
Mar 2015

She actually voted to make him National Security Advisor and Sec Of State while Ms. Clinton was working as a young college student for Eugene MCCarthy in 1968 and a Texas organizer with her husband for George McGovern in 1972.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
26. Very interesting information.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:26 PM
Mar 2015

Lots of ties to republicans. Guess those things happen when you spend a good portion of your adult life cheering and supporting them. Unlike others like the Kissinger commenter above, I understand Warren understands her past errors and is a really good progressive. As is Hillary.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
43. I wasn't making inference at all.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 02:03 PM
Mar 2015

Not even really being serious. I really don't take the Benghazi crowd seriously. Just have a little fun with them.

LondonReign2

(5,213 posts)
45. Ah, right. Anyone that points out that Hillary has close ties to Kissenger
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 02:08 PM
Mar 2015

is part of "the Benghazi crowd".

You folks really need to improve your game.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
46. What game.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 02:20 PM
Mar 2015

If you think it is a game, you wouldn't mind discussing Warrens support of deregulation for a good part of her adult life. Her support that helped to implement our current economic crisis. Come on. It's a simple game. You have brought us to Kissinger. Lets talk Regan and his supporters. Both would be stupid to do. That's why I don't get into it. Warren and Hillary are great progressives.

Lets play who is worse. Hillary and Kissinger or Warren and Regan. <- Don't you see how fucking stupid that sounds.

LondonReign2

(5,213 posts)
47. Where do they stand NOW?
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 02:26 PM
Mar 2015

Yes, Warren admits she was wrong back then. Her positions, now, are quite different. But unless you are telling me Hillary has denounced Kissenger, then there is no comparison. At all. But hey, claiming anyone that points out Hillary's ties to Kissenger is part of "the Benghazi crowd" is a nice touch.

"Lets play who is worse. Hillary and Kissinger or Warren and Regan. <- Don't you see how fucking stupid that sounds." Who is Regan that you keep referring to?

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
15. Hillary got my Florida primary vote last time. Even though it did not count.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 11:50 AM
Mar 2015

She will not get my primary vote this time.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
20. It seems it is upsetting some people.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:15 PM
Mar 2015

How can any Democrat leading a Republican be welcomed with derision on a Democratic board?

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
22. At this point I think s lot of the posters who don't want her to be the nominee are not happy
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:19 PM
Mar 2015

how the opposition is shapping up in the party and that is why some are angry.

I think most of them will support the nominee but they want a vivigorous primary anf at this point that does not look to be happening.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
25. I don't see anybody being prohibited from running.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:23 PM
Mar 2015

As to supporting the eventual nominee of the party that's between them and their moral and political compasses...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
29. I don't belong to the "HRC or else" school...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:34 PM
Mar 2015

Because it's counterproductive, futile, and it's between a person and his or her political and moral compass...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
31. Their hearts are in the right place but folks will do what folks will do...
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:42 PM
Mar 2015

IMHO, elections are more about getting those inclined to vote for you to go to their polling places and actually vote for you than persuading voters who are inclined to vote against you to vote for you...

I see a winning coalition waiting for Ms. Clinton that is waiting to be tapped and it's up to her to tap it.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
36. I haven't looked closely lately
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:48 PM
Mar 2015

But most folks say the House is out of reach due to gerrymandering until the next census in 2020.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
27. Yet in her own home state she is leading her Republican challengers by thirty points
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 12:28 PM
Mar 2015
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2179


That suggests, among other things, that Ms. Clinton is vastly more popular with her former constituents than Mr. Rubio is with his present constituents and Mr. Bush is with his former constituents.
 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
62. It's a joke because...
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 06:17 PM
Mar 2015

Hillary has as good as 100% name recognition, and surely higher than Biden.

The average Republican troll, other than Bush, something like 30-50%.

Warren, probably around 30-40%.

Plus we all know from the history of every other damn election that these polls swing back and forth and back again constantly and only in the final months and weeks do they acquire any meaning.

bullwinkle428

(20,631 posts)
42. "Two points" translates to "close enough to steal" for Republicans.
Thu Mar 26, 2015, 01:21 PM
Mar 2015

Rick Scott probably just got a boner, given his propensity for theft.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
57. Barack Obama carried it by .09% in 012/ FL is actually more red than purple...
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 05:07 PM
Mar 2015

The governor is a R...All the Cabinet members are R*. The Senate is R dominated and the House ir R dominated. The congressional delegation is R dominated.

Bill Nelson is the only major Democratic office holder in the state.


*I believe so.

 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
61. Is this any better than Generic Democrat?
Fri Mar 27, 2015, 06:11 PM
Mar 2015

Did this poll ask how other unannounced candidates (which HRC still is) would do against all these unannounced Republicans? I checked, and while Hillary is matched against many others, it is only after her name is repeated many times before Biden and Warren are each checked against one Republican each. This is not a valid methodology.

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