New poll shows AG Josh Stein widening gap over INSANE LOUDMOUTH Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson in NC's governor's race

[BlueWaveNeverEnd]

GOP's Mark Robinson summary: LGBT are filth, men are to lead, not women, abortion for me but not you (wife had an abortion, now he's anti choice). lots of stupid anti Black statements although he is Black.

(2022) "We are called to be led by men"

(2020) “For me, there is no compromise on abortion. It makes no difference to me why or how that child ended up in that womb"





With six and a half months before Election Day, the latest Meredith College poll shows Democrat Josh Stein gaining a bit more ground over Republican Mark Robinson in North Carolina’s gubernatorial contest. Stein now leads Robinson 45%-36% — up from a five percentage point advantage in February.


Poll director and political scientist David McLennan says while Robinson gets a lot of support from conservatives in the state, Stein is growing his base among unaffiliated voters and those who say they are politically moderate.

“Robinson continues to get negative media coverage of his statements and actions from the past. This enhanced exposure of Robinson’s extreme statements, as well as concerns that some of Robinson’s policy positions, seems to be shifting the unaffiliated voters into Stein’s camp,” noted McLennan.

Most recently Robinson has drawn attention for failing to file federal income taxes for five years between 1998-2002. Robinson’s communications director Mike Lonergan told ABC News that Robinson’s made no secret of his past financial challenges and that it’s “old news recycled by Democrats.”

https://ncnewsline.com/briefs/new-poll-shows-ag-josh-stein-widening-the-gap-over-lt-gov-mark-robinson-in-ncs-governors-race/

[dutch777]

1. It is amazing how tone deaf some of these Repugs are. You would think they might not say EVERYTHING they think.

Just in the hopes of getting elected. On the other hand, it is scary how many people seem to agree with them or at least tolerate their idiocy for some other base cause.

[BlueWaveNeverEnd]

2. GOP picked a garbage candidate.

[Probatim]

3. And they'll blame racists for his loss.

Had a friend say that's how Beshear won in KY - the racists stayed home and wouldn't vote for the R's gubernatorial pick. Gave him a good laugh as some family members held a big fundraiser for the guy then cried sour grapes when he lost.

[BlueWaveNeverEnd]

7. Beshear's opponent was a Black man married to a white woman... I'm sure that suppressed the MAGAT vote

what's sad is that he's moved on to be one of those Black politicians who are the mouthpiece for anti-woke crap..

[Celerity]

4. Methodological Information

https://ncnewsline.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Meredith-Poll-April-2024-Report.docx.pdf

Mode: Online

Population: N.C. Registered Voters 18+

Dates in the field: April 11-17, 2024

Sample Size: 801

Credibility Interval: +/- 3.5%

Weighting Variables (NC): Gender, Education, Location (Urban, Rural, and Suburban counties). Political Party, and Race and Ethnicity.

Procedures: The Meredith Poll used an online sample provided by Qualtrics. Participants were recruited into the sample by Qualtrics and received small amounts of compensation in exchange for their opinions. The survey was not an open- link, posted on social media, but rather was by direct invitation to a very large national pool of people who agree to take online surveys. More information about the Qualtrics panels and quality tests are available here. Quotas on demographic variables such as gender, race, etc. were applied prior to online survey commencement.

Online interviews were included in the final dataset if respondents spent a minimum length of time on the interview and particular sections, and if a respondent progressed through the entire survey. Respondents were recruited to the survey with a generic description about the fall elections.

Credibility Interval

Unlike a traditional random digit-dial telephone survey, online surveys do not have a traditional margin of error. Non-Probability quota samples like these do not adhere to assumptions of random selection. To account for uncertainty inherent in any sample-based research design, we provide a credibility interval.

More information about this technique can be found here. The credibility interval was calculated by inflating traditional confidence intervals by a design effect calculated using the squared sum of weights. For this North Carolina sample, this means: (1.0 * 2.5= 3.5). We round these values up for presentation of results. As with all surveys, Total survey error often exceeds sampling error.

Weighting Information

Weights were generated in Qualtrics using a technique known as iterative proportional fitting, also known as raking. The weight variable was calculated based on the variables in the table below. The demographic information was obtained through self-report- respondents answered closed ended questions.

Model—we used the 2020 US Census estimates, the estimates provided from the UNC Demography Center, and the current statistics on voter registrations in NC (from the NC State Board of Elections) for our weighting.

Age
18-25 7.2%
26-40 32%
41-56 26.6%
57-75 25%
76+ 9.2%

Gender
Female 50%
Male 49%
Other/refused 1%

Race and Ethnicity
White 67%
Black 20%
Other 13%

Educational
Attainment
Less than a bachelor’s degree 70%
Bachelor’s degree or higher 30%

Location—county ofresidence
Rural 39%
Urban 25%
Suburban 36%

Party Affiliation
Democrat 33.4%
Republican 30.3%
Unaffiliated 35.6%
Other .6%

[RAB910]

5. If this country wasn't broken by the right-wing propaganda machine, this wouldn't even be a contest

[Ontheboundry]

6. He's not in a deep red state

Where that flies easier. He is in a very purple state, and his rhetoric isn't flying with moderates

[Qutzupalotl]

8. This has to help Joe flip NC blue

right?