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CincyDem

(6,418 posts)
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 04:05 PM Nov 2023

With Stein announcing and Manchin implying...

…looks like someone is revving up the third party option in light of Tuesday’s decisive results for Dems in virtually race and issue.

It’s “throw it against the wall” time for republicans who have no policy solution for the gap between them and the American voters.

Remember in 2024, there is no such thing a voting to “send a message”. In a two party system, you either vote to win or vote to lose. Don’t get caught up in this thinking that a vote for Manchin, Stein, Kennedy, or some other wannabe third party person will teach Dems a lesson and somehow magically make things better.

Writing is on the wall…it’s Biden Trump. If ya ain’t voting for Biden, you’re voting for Trump…no matter where ya choose to put your check mark.

44 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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With Stein announcing and Manchin implying... (Original Post) CincyDem Nov 2023 OP
RWers money at it's fineness........ Lovie777 Nov 2023 #1
so RFK jr flamed out as someone that can make Trump win lapfog_1 Nov 2023 #2
Lots! PortTack Nov 2023 #16
I have plenty of labels for Manchin and Stein. dchill Nov 2023 #19
I agree but wonder what multiple third party candidates would do? Guess it depends who they are more attractive to... dutch777 Nov 2023 #3
I think you're right. To start now and manage to get on all 50 ballots..not sure that's doable PortTack Nov 2023 #17
stein jumps in to RF for Putin.. 2016 wasn't enough for that RF. Cha Nov 2023 #4
I've always had my suspicions about Manchin and Putin BannonsLiver Nov 2023 #5
Yep. Here's the worrying thing to me... CincyDem Nov 2023 #6
If the Dems control the house, then it won't go to the states one vote one state. That's the step beyond PortTack Nov 2023 #15
Those were 2016 votes, though... tinrobot Nov 2023 #23
Yes I know.. but she's still RF for Putin. She doesn't care about Cha Nov 2023 #29
She's Putin's darling Give Peace A Chance Nov 2023 #7
Like it was yesterday. And she's never been held to account by the third party fans. n/t. CincyDem Nov 2023 #8
There are a lot of what we used to call "fellow travelers" erronis Nov 2023 #20
I wish the media (print, online, and broadcast) would do a better job explaining how third-party Lonestarblue Nov 2023 #9
But it wouldn't serve the media's interests in debunking crazy stuff. erronis Nov 2023 #21
I don't see how that's the media's responsibility. TwilightZone Nov 2023 #25
"Democrats: Trust the Courage of Your Convictions! " lees1975 Nov 2023 #10
I fully agree GAJMac Nov 2023 #11
Not sure how many times this has mzmolly Nov 2023 #12
I know. It's infuriating. CincyDem Nov 2023 #13
Republicans lining manchin's pockets. They know they can't win so once again let's get our ol friend PortTack Nov 2023 #14
Manchin I_UndergroundPanther Nov 2023 #32
Manchin won't run for president. There is no proof. LeftInTX Nov 2023 #18
I think most Democrats are wise to Stein tinrobot Nov 2023 #22
yeah - the hilliary hate was strong in that one. CincyDem Nov 2023 #27
I am GENERALLY Pro Democracy kwolf68 Nov 2023 #24
Somewhere a GOP mathematician is working overtime Blue Owl Nov 2023 #26
Somewhere a GOP mathematician is working overtime Blue Owl Nov 2023 #28
This clip featuring Rachel Maddow says it all. LaMouffette Nov 2023 #30
Never underestimate the ability of some on the Left to stupidly vote for a 3rd party candidate. elocs Nov 2023 #31
Oh FFS ExWhoDoesntCare Nov 2023 #38
No, I won't stop, but I will ignore you. Sounds like a plan to me. n/t elocs Nov 2023 #43
The wavering support for our guy is creating a void in the middle randr Nov 2023 #33
If we have a re-do of 2016, I'm gonna be REALLY unhappy. (nt) Paladin Nov 2023 #34
This should be preached far and wide SouthernDem4ever Nov 2023 #35
Well, good luck getting that message through ExWhoDoesntCare Nov 2023 #39
I no longer try, I just call em what they are SouthernDem4ever Nov 2023 #44
The only people who will be fooled this time around are the "Democrats" who would not have voted for LiberalArkie Nov 2023 #36
Too many on the Left can't seem to grasp the simple concept that American partisan politics is binary, elocs Nov 2023 #37
Maybe Manchin can run with Sinema on the Obstructionist Party ticket? sop Nov 2023 #40
Just show those pictures of Jill stein with Putin all over left leaning sites and she's toast. kimbutgar Nov 2023 #41
I see Jill Stein is still taking her marching orders from her good buddy, Vlad Putin. Texin Nov 2023 #42

lapfog_1

(29,243 posts)
2. so RFK jr flamed out as someone that can make Trump win
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 04:10 PM
Nov 2023

which became obvious when polling showed that he hurt Trump more than Biden.

Now Manchin and Jill Stein enter as some sort of "no labels" presidential bid to hurt Biden?

Seems likely. I wonder how much money the billionaires offered to Manchin?

dutch777

(3,060 posts)
3. I agree but wonder what multiple third party candidates would do? Guess it depends who they are more attractive to...
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 04:14 PM
Nov 2023

..disaffected Dems or Repugs. I would love to see Christie enter as 3rd party to eat into Trumpian side of things. Kennedy may do the same. Not sure who would really support Manchin. Other than maybe No Labels and Kennedy, not sure who could raise enough and organize enough to get on many ballots and mount any sort of credible campaign.

PortTack

(32,820 posts)
17. I think you're right. To start now and manage to get on all 50 ballots..not sure that's doable
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:53 PM
Nov 2023

Considering who manchin is. Mostly unknown to the average person plus the ground game they would have to have just isn’t there

CincyDem

(6,418 posts)
6. Yep. Here's the worrying thing to me...
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 04:34 PM
Nov 2023

…these third party folks muck up the electoral college to prevent Joe getting to 270. What’s it take?

A Michigan fueled by Tlaib supporters who don’t want trump but feel aggrieved by Biden. There’s 15.

A Virginia or a Georgia…there’s 13 or 16.

I think the learning for the right from 1/6/21 was that they had the right idea and the wrong execution. Instead of trying to claim trump won these “contested” states, they only have to show Biden didn’t. That gets it to the house to decide with one vote per delegation. Yeah…so South Dakota’s 450k residents have as much say in picking the president as California’s 40 million.

I can’t put my hands on the numbers right now but I’m pretty sure republicans control a majority of the delegations and, even if we flip the house in 2024, it’s likely republicans maintain the delegation majority.

I have no data to say these states don’t go Biden but who wants to take the f’cking chance with all that’s at stake. This can not go to the house.



PortTack

(32,820 posts)
15. If the Dems control the house, then it won't go to the states one vote one state. That's the step beyond
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:48 PM
Nov 2023

tinrobot

(10,927 posts)
23. Those were 2016 votes, though...
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:25 PM
Nov 2023

Most of them were Bernie voters who didn't want Hillary.

Very different dynamic this year.

Cha

(298,021 posts)
29. Yes I know.. but she's still RF for Putin. She doesn't care about
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:51 PM
Nov 2023

The US Democracy.

I hope that sociopathic liar for Putin goes down in a pile of flames.

erronis

(15,460 posts)
20. There are a lot of what we used to call "fellow travelers"
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:06 PM
Nov 2023

Money and blackmail can buy a lot of influence in the political process.

Now, almost all (r)epuglicons are controlled by domestic or foreign interests. They don't care about their duties to the citizens or the constitution. They do care about their non-taxable income and fears of being outed.

Lonestarblue

(10,157 posts)
9. I wish the media (print, online, and broadcast) would do a better job explaining how third-party
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:14 PM
Nov 2023

votes are a dead end. We do not have a parliamentary system where minority parties might get a seat in Congress. I think it’s all but two states that also award electoral college votes by winner takes all, which means that no third party vote has any effect other than to be a spoiler for one of the major parties. Saying you’re casting a protest vote is just useless because absolutely no one in power pays the slightest bit of attention to those voters and what they want.

erronis

(15,460 posts)
21. But it wouldn't serve the media's interests in debunking crazy stuff.
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:09 PM
Nov 2023

They all want to report on what "might happen" so our eyeballs and ad-clicks are registered.

To hell with any analysis in the MSM which is what 90+% of american's absorb.

TwilightZone

(25,517 posts)
25. I don't see how that's the media's responsibility.
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:28 PM
Nov 2023

Voters need to educate themselves. If they don't understand something as simple as a third-party candidate who has no chance of winning being a wasted vote, it's not the media's job to convince them otherwise.

If they did, they would face accusations of bias, accusations which would be fully warranted.

People who cast protest votes fully understand that their votes are being wasted. It's more important for them to make a statement and brag about it to their friends than to influence election results.

lees1975

(3,925 posts)
10. "Democrats: Trust the Courage of Your Convictions! "
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:20 PM
Nov 2023
"We keep hearing about how terrible things are for Democrats: how they've alienated working class whites, how President Joe Biden is destined to lose and how they can't do anything right. Yet in election after election, Democrats rack up victory after victory. If they keep winning, it might just get even the most fainthearted Democrats to finally trust the courage of their convictions." --Paul Waldman, Commentator for the Washington Post on MSNBC November 8, 2023

No third party candidate is going to counterfeit Democratic party convictions. Look at Tuesday's election, and this past summer's supreme court election in Wisconsin, at what the party has done since President Biden took the white house. All this moderate, moderately conservative, moderately progressive talk is intended to divide Democrats from their convictions, create doubt and elect a guy who, if the justice department does its job, had better not even be on the ballot.

No Manchin, Stein, West or Kennedy can top that. If you have convictions, you vote Biden. If you're a traitor or a wimp or a wussie or unamerican, you'll vote for one of them.

CincyDem

(6,418 posts)
13. I know. It's infuriating.
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:42 PM
Nov 2023

I get into these “has he done enough” conversations that are just crap. I think he shows this insight when he says “don’t care me to god, compare me to the other guy”.

PortTack

(32,820 posts)
14. Republicans lining manchin's pockets. They know they can't win so once again let's get our ol friend
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:44 PM
Nov 2023

Manchin to throw a monkey wrench in the works.

It fucking passes me off that the pukes do this..but I despise manchin for going along. He knows how terrible the orange mass is and what it would do to our country and if he were to wins …and doesn’t give two shits!

I_UndergroundPanther

(12,507 posts)
32. Manchin
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 12:14 AM
Nov 2023

Is scared of the people rejecting coal oil and gas in favor of a living planet.His coal mine might make him less money if people take climate change seriously. I bet he loves that republican climate change denial music to his greedy ears.

Manchin I still feel is with republicans on too many things and you know no labels has a lot of rich republican funders in it. Enough to make me suspicious.

Now that Manchin has declared himself independent will we be able to say what we really think about him?

And why the fuck is he running now? Greed or something worse. Fucking Manchin pisses me off.
If the orange scum wins because of him there will be no forgiveness.forever

LeftInTX

(25,763 posts)
18. Manchin won't run for president. There is no proof.
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 05:56 PM
Nov 2023

Has he even implied that he's gonna run for president?

He has to make a decision on his US senate seat. There are campaign finance reports/fund raising/filing period/filing deadline all for the US senate seat. In Texas filing began on Monday, Nov 6 and ends Dec 11.

Not sure of WVA, but I'm pretty sure a filing calendar has something to do with his announcement.

"No Labels" only has ballot access in the following states: Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida Hawaii, Nevada,[] North Carolina, Oregon, Mississippi, South Dakota, and Utah.

tinrobot

(10,927 posts)
22. I think most Democrats are wise to Stein
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:23 PM
Nov 2023

My friends who voted for her in 2016 were disaffected Bernie fanatics who were pissed at Hillary (for no good reason). It wasn't so much a pro-Stein vote as an anti-Hillary vote.

I don't think that same dynamic is going to happen this time - at least with Stein.

I worry more about Manchin announcing and pulling votes from the middle.

CincyDem

(6,418 posts)
27. yeah - the hilliary hate was strong in that one.
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:36 PM
Nov 2023

I had a friend who voted for Stein because he though the Clinton Foundation has screwed one of his businesses because they were giving away free vaccines somewhere in the world. Normally a very (very) sane thinker but I'll tell you...it made for some insanely crazy talks.

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
24. I am GENERALLY Pro Democracy
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:27 PM
Nov 2023

I believe if a third, fourth or fight party wants to run by all means. It gets other ideas out there.

However, this is NOT the time for this non-sense. This isn't a choice between Bill Clinton and George H Bush.

This is a choice between a pro-Democracy candidate who cares about America and a candidate who wants to destroy all of its institutions. THIS IS NOT the time for political theater. This is the time to back the candidate (President Biden) who is the resistance to a fascist takeover of our nation.

If your goal is to deliver this nation to an authoritarian who likely would BAN YOUR political party, then please do run as a third party in hoping to siphon votes from Biden.

Blue Owl

(50,567 posts)
26. Somewhere a GOP mathematician is working overtime
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:35 PM
Nov 2023

Trying to find SOME way to siphon off votes from the Democrats

Blue Owl

(50,567 posts)
28. Somewhere a GOP mathematician is working overtime
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 06:37 PM
Nov 2023

Trying to find SOME way to siphon off votes from the Democrats

elocs

(22,641 posts)
31. Never underestimate the ability of some on the Left to stupidly vote for a 3rd party candidate.
Thu Nov 9, 2023, 08:09 PM
Nov 2023

Here in Wisconsin in '16, Stein received more votes than Trump's margin of victory and it's a safe bet that most of her votes came from the Left at the expense of Hillary Clinton who never bothered to make even a single appearance here in WI in the general election campaign, so confident that she had WI in her pocket.

 

ExWhoDoesntCare

(4,741 posts)
38. Oh FFS
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 02:38 PM
Nov 2023

Stop with this ridiculous assertion about Hillary and Wisconsin.

1) She had a visit scheduled there but couldn't make it (having senior moment here for why).

2) There is zero evidence that going to the state would have affected the vote.

Really.

The results of this analysis do not clearly support either of the assumptions made by Clinton’s critics. In general, none of the presidential or vice presidential candidates – including Clinton – significantly influenced voting via campaign visits.


https://ecommons.udayton.edu/pol_fac_pub/116/

SouthernDem4ever

(6,617 posts)
35. This should be preached far and wide
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 12:15 PM
Nov 2023

People need to realize they are stuck in a two-party system right now and if they vote for fascists it will turn into a one party system that they won't like. You would think they would know that by now - but obviously they're stupid.

SouthernDem4ever

(6,617 posts)
44. I no longer try, I just call em what they are
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 05:58 PM
Nov 2023

They have already decided they have to be beaten down and stepped on before they realize how stupid they are - and the idiots they vote for will end up doing just that. You think they'll wise up then?

LiberalArkie

(15,736 posts)
36. The only people who will be fooled this time around are the "Democrats" who would not have voted for
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 12:27 PM
Nov 2023

Biden any way and voted for Trump in the last election.

Their only hope was the "Kennedy" name recognition. And that did not even work.

elocs

(22,641 posts)
37. Too many on the Left can't seem to grasp the simple concept that American partisan politics is binary,
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 01:25 PM
Nov 2023

with the winner being either the Democratic candidate of the Republican one. So any member of the Left who chooses not to vote for Biden in the battleground states only helps Trump. It happened here in Wisconsin in '16 when Stein's vote total was greater than Trump's margin of victory and it's a safe bet that most of her votes came from the Left.

Texin

(2,600 posts)
42. I see Jill Stein is still taking her marching orders from her good buddy, Vlad Putin.
Fri Nov 10, 2023, 03:30 PM
Nov 2023

I'm surprised Mike Flynn hasn't thrown his hat into the ring.

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