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caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 12:56 PM Nov 2012

Only Gerrymandering saved the GOP from losing the House...


. . . and they know it. This election would be so much more decisive if they hadn't redrawn the districts. Now they're entrenched at least till 2022, but I'm thinking more districts are going to turn Democratic in the decade.

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Only Gerrymandering saved the GOP from losing the House... (Original Post) caseymoz Nov 2012 OP
This saved Bachman's sorry ass. Wellstone ruled Nov 2012 #1
Gerrymandering is done by both parties. former9thward Nov 2012 #2
California's districts weren't gerrymandered dsc Nov 2012 #6
Gerrymandering took place in 2001 after the 2000 census. former9thward Nov 2012 #7
This was the first election to use the new districts Retrograde Nov 2012 #16
I know, but my point still is: caseymoz Nov 2012 #8
Some states are changing. former9thward Nov 2012 #10
You're right, so why aren't the Democrats pushing a plan to requiring districts to be drawn Egalitarian Thug Nov 2012 #3
Because it's too late, for one thing. caseymoz Nov 2012 #9
It comes around again in 8 years and this has gone on forever. There is barely enough time Egalitarian Thug Nov 2012 #12
It will be an opportunity in 8 years caseymoz Nov 2012 #13
Even more reason to begin the process now. Egalitarian Thug Nov 2012 #14
Implemented by Democrats? caseymoz Nov 2012 #15
Do you feel better now? n/t Egalitarian Thug Nov 2012 #20
And this is why the DO NOT DESERVE their asses kissed by Obama! flamingdem Nov 2012 #4
Bingo. That is what is not being acknowledged Horse with no Name Nov 2012 #5
Anyone know a total for House votes across the country? muriel_volestrangler Nov 2012 #11
That, and we lost a few districts due to apportainment. :( joshcryer Nov 2012 #17
I considered that part of gerrymandering. nt caseymoz Nov 2012 #18
As do I. joshcryer Nov 2012 #19
 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
1. This saved Bachman's sorry ass.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 01:47 PM
Nov 2012

Mn 6 was carved out with her in mind. Extremely small minority area,mostly fundies and angry old whities.

former9thward

(32,077 posts)
2. Gerrymandering is done by both parties.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 01:51 PM
Nov 2012

It just depends on who is in power. In California all of the districts were gerrymandered to take out Rs. Same thing occurred in Illinois and other states where Ds have control. The Supreme Court in a series of cases has said it is ok so it will continue.

former9thward

(32,077 posts)
7. Gerrymandering took place in 2001 after the 2000 census.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:15 PM
Nov 2012

For 10 years seats did not change parties. The new commission was approved in 2010 but there are limitations. The Republican and Democratic leaders of the assembly are allowed to eliminate almost half of the applicants proved for the commission. They can eliminate any person they think will go against their interest without explanation. The commission had to work with existing districts. It will take probably two or three census cycles to get fair districts.

Retrograde

(10,156 posts)
16. This was the first election to use the new districts
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:00 AM
Nov 2012

and look what happened: the state senate and assembly are now solidly Dem, and it looks like we picked up a few House seats as well.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
8. I know, but my point still is:
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:47 PM
Nov 2012

The defeat was quite a bit worse than it first looks. Repubs know this.

That being said, they should do something about gerrymandering. There has to be an ap that does it automatically.

former9thward

(32,077 posts)
10. Some states are changing.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:06 PM
Nov 2012

In Iowa computers do it without input from the political parties (at least this is what I have read). In Arizona starting this election cycle an independent Commission did it and the results seemed pretty fair.

 

Egalitarian Thug

(12,448 posts)
3. You're right, so why aren't the Democrats pushing a plan to requiring districts to be drawn
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 01:51 PM
Nov 2012

by some neutral system?

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
9. Because it's too late, for one thing.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:51 PM
Nov 2012

For another, it's definitely not the first thing on their minds. I'm sure it will come up, but Repubs will attack it ceaselessly.
 

Egalitarian Thug

(12,448 posts)
12. It comes around again in 8 years and this has gone on forever. There is barely enough time
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:51 PM
Nov 2012

now to start generating support for the idea and to sort through various options to find one that will be palatable. There will be a lot of resistance from within the party because of the relatively few safe Democratic seats and the republicans will like it even less, but it is necessary if we are ever to recreate productive governance.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
13. It will be an opportunity in 8 years
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:06 PM
Nov 2012

Only if democrats take control of more state legislatures. But those legislatures now have entrenched Republican majorities due to this last round of gerrymandering.
 

Egalitarian Thug

(12,448 posts)
14. Even more reason to begin the process now.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:14 PM
Nov 2012

You can't bitch about the inherent unfairness of a gerrymandering system that was implemented largely by Democrats to preserve the power base they once held because it works against us now, while refusing to begin the process of changing it because it is going to be hard.

This is part of why we have this eternal cycle of uselessness and gridlock in our political system. We are the government. When it doesn't work for us, the fault is ours.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
15. Implemented by Democrats?
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:54 AM
Nov 2012

The Party that had the name Democratic-Republicans in 1812, who's practice in Massachusetts gave us the term gerrymandering, has no connection to the party now. The roots and network of the party have evolved to where it's unrecognizable. It's like holding somebody responsible for what their ancestor did during the Revolutionary War, but worse, the genes aren't even there.

I didn't mention refusing to start anything. I said it's going to be hard. I said the legislatures we have to work with are likely to remain in Republican hands.That doesn't say we shouldn't try. But instead of blaming me for undercutting your Grand Plan to Fix Everything, how do suggest we get around that? Anything done needs a strategy, and I haven't heard it from you or anyone. How to get around legislatures that are going continue to be Republican hands for the next decade and maybe after. What do we do to persuade them to allow a process that will put them out of power as the GOP loses popularity? Call them and tell them to give up? Armed insurrection? Give me something besides your obnoxiousness and guilt tripping to work with, here.

I am not the fucking government. I'm not responsible for what it does. I don't know what "we" you're talking about. If the government chooses to arrest me and lock me up, it's not me locking myself up. The same with you. That's the reality. The entire notion you're giving is erroneous.

Your assigning guilt to me and others for government action is offensive. Governments are not run by the governed, never have been and never will be. Despite what the US founding documents say, government by the governed has never had any basis in reality. We can influence the government, even heavily influence it, but we are not the government. If we were, we wouldn't need a government, now would we? Why would we need a government if we all had the time and resources to govern the government? What the government does, is not what I do or you do. Unless we're officially in it.

So take your manipulative guilt somewhere else. I don't feel it.

No, I don't think what I told you was discouraging in the least. I think manipulativeness of assigning guilt first repulses people from causes. Yeah, people really want to help you after you say, "It's all your fault, negligent bastards. Do something about it." Try saying, "Well, this is the problem we're facing, this is what's obstructing us in solving it. Let's think of a way of solving it."

flamingdem

(39,321 posts)
4. And this is why the DO NOT DESERVE their asses kissed by Obama!
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 01:52 PM
Nov 2012

Let's not let the media create permission for bs compromise with a group that has nothing to offer!

muriel_volestrangler

(101,361 posts)
11. Anyone know a total for House votes across the country?
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:16 PM
Nov 2012

I know it doesn't necessarily show what would have happened in the absence of gerrymandering, but it can be a guide. One of the statistical analysts said, before the election, that they thought the Repubs had an advantage of between 1 and 2% - ie the Democrats would have to beat them by that amount to get the same number of seats.

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
17. That, and we lost a few districts due to apportainment. :(
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:05 AM
Nov 2012

Gerrymandering was the primary reason, though.

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
19. As do I.
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:22 AM
Nov 2012

But to be fair apportionment was done by the census, so the Republicans simply used it to their advantage. It didn't help that the liberal states lost population to the conservative states.

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