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Katie Porter needs some positive vibes! (Original Post) SayItLoud Nov 2022 OP
What the heck? She is what this government needs. ck4829 Nov 2022 #1
I heard on Stephanie Miller Traildogbob Nov 2022 #17
they didn't officially say she'd won, just that it was looking good LymphocyteLover Nov 2022 #59
I was Too anxious I guess. Traildogbob Nov 2022 #62
Only 67% reporting. Weird. TigressDem Nov 2022 #80
FOUND the problem.... They couldn't count MAIL IN BALLOTS ahead of election day TigressDem Nov 2022 #81
If we lose Katie I would consider that a total disaster kwolf68 Nov 2022 #2
I would, but I could see her in the administration and eventually JCMach1 Nov 2022 #7
I could see her in any of those roles, too. ShazzieB Nov 2022 #38
Same here Rebl2 Nov 2022 #53
I agree seta1950 Nov 2022 #72
i am looking forward to Katie running for President one day. nt Samrob Nov 2022 #63
Something is seriously wrong with this country if she gets voted out and MTG and Boebert stay. Irish_Dem Nov 2022 #71
She's great, which is why GOP targeted this race. blm Nov 2022 #3
For sure kwolf68 Nov 2022 #8
Orange County, swing district LeftInTX Nov 2022 #9
aren't dems are in charge of redistricting in California? AlexSFCA Nov 2022 #12
I think they may have an "independent redistricting commission" - not sure LeftInTX Nov 2022 #13
That's correct, we do seta1950 Nov 2022 #73
Independent, nonpartisan group. blm Nov 2022 #18
Nope, it's an independent bipartisan commission that sets districts in CA. SunSeeker Nov 2022 #26
I hear you peppertree Nov 2022 #35
Same thing happened to Elaine Luria GreenWave Nov 2022 #41
If either California or New York markodochartaigh Nov 2022 #51
The amount of injustice running rampant in our elections is truly shameful. Dark n Stormy Knight Nov 2022 #70
and a talk radio district. dem party lets republicans attack dems like katie w/radio certainot Nov 2022 #48
Absolutely! She's a thorn in their side which they badly want to remove. nt eppur_se_muova Nov 2022 #39
I think she's got this...I hope she's got this... LeftInTX Nov 2022 #4
I think you misspelled "votes" intrepidity Nov 2022 #5
Blue wave vibes on the way! 💓💓💓 SheltieLover Nov 2022 #6
She's our Democratic incumbent. We need her to hold this seat. Hortensis Nov 2022 #10
It was expected to be a close race Sympthsical Nov 2022 #11
She was my rep until our districts were redrawn after the census. Sibelius Fan Nov 2022 #14
Ah...I hope not... LeftInTX Nov 2022 #16
She is only one of the most competent legislators I have ever seen. world wide wally Nov 2022 #15
Easily kwolf68 Nov 2022 #24
She's terrific appalachiablue Nov 2022 #19
I've been positive vibing my butt off! BComplex Nov 2022 #20
DNC gave her $300k; GOP and dark money gave her opponent $9m Fiendish Thingy Nov 2022 #21
Ugh...they have money to burn.... LeftInTX Nov 2022 #22
Just ridiculous kwolf68 Nov 2022 #23
Yup, they ran attack ads against her 24/7, basically blaming her for inflation. SunSeeker Nov 2022 #29
Geez moose65 Nov 2022 #44
Yup, it's basically unilateral disarmament. nt SunSeeker Nov 2022 #60
I'm not sure people realize what an accomplishment it for a liberal Democrat to win this district. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #77
Oh I know. I knocked on doors for Katie last month. There are SO many MAGA loons in her district. SunSeeker Nov 2022 #78
DNC does not fund campaigns Genki Hikari Nov 2022 #74
Sure- it's a hair splitting technicality Fiendish Thingy Nov 2022 #75
Not sure how they were investing their ad money, but for LA area television buys Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #76
What's her district number? Sogo Nov 2022 #25
47. She got shafted by our bipartisan redistricting commission. SunSeeker Nov 2022 #27
Just so insane kwolf68 Nov 2022 #30
She's the best!! Sogo Nov 2022 #31
We Dems in CA set up a bipartisan redistricting commission. SunSeeker Nov 2022 #33
Just asking RockCreek Nov 2022 #34
Shhhhhh n/t SickOfTheOnePct Nov 2022 #36
Nope! Dems get the same number of seats as Republicans. It's ridiculous. SunSeeker Nov 2022 #61
NY did not drop the ball, they were fucked over by the system that Cuomo rammed into place Celerity Nov 2022 #83
Old 45. New (current election) 47. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #47
none finer! bringthePaine Nov 2022 #28
K n R ! Thanks for posting! nt JoeOtterbein Nov 2022 #32
She'll be fine ColinC Nov 2022 #37
Those R seats are in R areas. I don't think they're flipping. LeftInTX Nov 2022 #50
They are purple not red ColinC Nov 2022 #55
Democrats will forever bring baked goods to the street fights we are going to have across this NoMoreRepugs Nov 2022 #40
Right On marieo1 Nov 2022 #42
The districts have been significantly re-drawn. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #43
Here's the rundown on CA-47 as of 4:30 p.m. EST FakeNoose Nov 2022 #45
She loses then her district should get free mental health evals for those who voted against her. Pepsidog Nov 2022 #46
Reps Pelosi and Porter and Sen. Warren are my heroes. KY_EnviroGuy Nov 2022 #49
I got an email Mz Pip Nov 2022 #52
Good. She's already ahead by 3,000 votes. LeftInTX Nov 2022 #54
This feels like a good Friday. ffr Nov 2022 #65
She has been increasing her lead every day since Wednesday SleeplessinSoCal Nov 2022 #56
I like it republianmushroom Nov 2022 #57
Jon Stewart had her on his The Problem podcast. summer_in_TX Nov 2022 #58
Took these pics Monday at a canvassing event with the Pod Save America guys... SleeplessinSoCal Nov 2022 #64
Go Katie! burrowowl Nov 2022 #82
God, I love this woman. Joinfortmill Nov 2022 #66
I heard today on The Stephanie Miller show Upthevibe Nov 2022 #67
Not yet. But it is encouraging that her 1.6% lead is holding steady. nt SunSeeker Nov 2022 #79
I love Katie Porter bdamomma Nov 2022 #68
I love Katie Porter bdamomma Nov 2022 #69

Traildogbob

(8,827 posts)
17. I heard on Stephanie Miller
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:26 PM
Nov 2022

This AM she had already won. Just damn all this delay and misinformation.
Go Katie. Damn we need her.

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
80. Only 67% reporting. Weird.
Sat Nov 12, 2022, 10:12 AM
Nov 2022
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=katie+porter

2022 US election results Live Updated at 8:10 AM CST

Districts California · District 47
67% reporting

Front-runner
Katie Porter
Democratic Party
51.2%
100,228 votes

Scott Baugh
Republican Party
48.8%
95,673 votes

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
81. FOUND the problem.... They couldn't count MAIL IN BALLOTS ahead of election day
Sat Nov 12, 2022, 10:14 AM
Nov 2022
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-california-us-house-district-47.html


We stopped updating these forecasts at 4 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. 9, as the bulk of the remaining races will be decided by mail ballots that will take days to count. These graphics and estimates will no longer be updated.

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
2. If we lose Katie I would consider that a total disaster
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:03 PM
Nov 2022

She is EXACTLY what this nation needs, period. She's amazing, one of my favorite leaders. I am sending whatever positive vibes I can muster, pull this one out Katie.

JCMach1

(27,574 posts)
7. I would, but I could see her in the administration and eventually
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:06 PM
Nov 2022

Sen. From CA ... And who knows from there

If she stays in the House, Madame Speaker

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
8. For sure
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:07 PM
Nov 2022

Can't have an honest, brilliant women calling bullshit on corporate greed and hegemony. NO, can't have anyone like that in the halls of government. She is fabulous, I feel about her like I felt about Senator Wellstone, just adore her.

SunSeeker

(51,726 posts)
26. Nope, it's an independent bipartisan commission that sets districts in CA.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:48 PM
Nov 2022

Dems bend over backwards to play fair and Republicans never play fair. The Commission shafted Katie Porter by redrawing her into a more conservative district here in Orange County. It's not a red wave nationwide but it sure is here in Orange County, California. We have our very popular governor, Gavin Newsom, losing here to some no name republican 52-47. https://www.ocvote.gov/results/current-election-results

Statewide, Newsom crushed it 57 to 42 without even campaigning. https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/governor

Frankly, it's a miracle she's leading in this shitty district by 1.6% at the moment.

peppertree

(21,674 posts)
35. I hear you
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:17 PM
Nov 2022

I lived in Irvine when Bob Dornan was ousted by Loretta Sánchez. Republicans left and right were spitting and swearing they'd "move to Mission Viejo!" (which at the time was represented by that do-nothing back-bencher Ron Packard).

It was a shock - but fortunately, the starting shot of what ended up becoming a much more purple Orange County.

I miss the old O.C. - but it's too expensive for my sorry bones, sadly.

GreenWave

(6,766 posts)
41. Same thing happened to Elaine Luria
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:07 PM
Nov 2022

They took away Blue Norfolk. She loses by 11,000. It gets assigned to perennial Democrat winner 3rd District Bobby Scott who obliterates his opponent by 70,000 + votes.

markodochartaigh

(1,155 posts)
51. If either California or New York
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:16 PM
Nov 2022

had gerrymandered the way that Florida, Texas, or Ohio has done the House would probably already be in Democratic hands. Democratic states have non partisan commissions or are slapped down by Republican judges (in New York) while Florida actually let the governor draw the map, and Republican states like Ohio and Texas are allowed by Republican judges to gerrymander away.

Dark n Stormy Knight

(9,771 posts)
70. The amount of injustice running rampant in our elections is truly shameful.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 10:17 PM
Nov 2022

Here in my majority white, red-leaning, semi-rural district, we've never had to wait more than half an hour. Usually far less.

Seeing those incredibly long lines some voters have to wait in hour after hour raises my ire. How anyone can defend that, I'll never know.

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
48. and a talk radio district. dem party lets republicans attack dems like katie w/radio
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:07 PM
Nov 2022

all the time. it's malpractice. they're not doing due diligence.

on the other hand, her constituents also let her down in that regard. i'll bet the national talkers on those stations got some talking points and have been mentioning/attacking katie once in while as well to reinforce the local blowhards.

dems had no response when limbaugh started the attacks on AOC. right after she was elected and stuck her head out limbaugh spent signoficanat time on one show that i heard doing some stochastic terrorism. he said she wash so radical pelosi and the liberal media and dem establishment were going to have to "take her out". he kept using that phrase in a number of ways. how many other times did he do that?

in NY state uni of Syracuse support 9 rw stations that likely have been attacking AOC and maloney for years. and that school is 150 miles from the buffalo shooting and for over 30 years all RW stations, by definition, have been excusing racism, selling versions of 'replacement theory' to sell their voter suppression, and comforting the NRA and assault weapons after every shooting.

usually someone in a think tank somewhere comes up with derogatory nickname for dems like katie, or a meme, and they just keep using it and repeating it for years.

the dem party and allies and supporters let this shit happen all over the country with no response. we even let hundreds of schools and sports teams be used to attract advertisers for them.

how many votes and threats is that worth?

intrepidity

(7,337 posts)
5. I think you misspelled "votes"
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:04 PM
Nov 2022
I'd give her a vote if I could, but she'll have to settle for vibes (which I believe they don't actually count).

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
10. She's our Democratic incumbent. We need her to hold this seat.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:13 PM
Nov 2022

But if she doesn't, SHE'll do okay even if we don't. Remember, electoral office is not the only place political power is exercised and is not the only way she can serve the public good. She would have a number of excellent opportunities and be able to run again in 2 years if she chose.

Sympthsical

(9,121 posts)
11. It was expected to be a close race
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:14 PM
Nov 2022

Ah, redistricting. It takes us forever to count votes.

It's a good thing, don't get me wrong. But it's funny, because now the rest of the country has to watch what we deal with every election. We don't really have an Election Day. We have an Election Week that can easily devolve into Election Month.

Welcome, rest of America! To the place where election reactions are, "Wait, is that still going on?"

Sibelius Fan

(24,396 posts)
14. She was my rep until our districts were redrawn after the census.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:17 PM
Nov 2022

We have a non-partisan outfit here in CA that draws the districts. I hope she’e not a victim of that process.

LeftInTX

(25,566 posts)
16. Ah...I hope not...
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:23 PM
Nov 2022

Her old district is a swing district.
If this is her new district, it looks better than her old district, but what do I know???

The new district looks more urban, but maps can be deceiving.

I'm in Texas

New District? (From Wikipedia)


Old District



Cook had it Lean Democratic, then Toss Up

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
24. Easily
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:45 PM
Nov 2022

She is a rock star. I could give a rats ass about Bobo or whatever, THIS is a seat I want to keep. Katie's voice is absolutely mandatory. My wife and I love her "white board" ass kickings she routinely gives oligarchs.

SunSeeker

(51,726 posts)
29. Yup, they ran attack ads against her 24/7, basically blaming her for inflation.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:55 PM
Nov 2022

Worse, the CA Bipartisan Redistricting Commission shafted Katie Porter by redrawing her into a more conservative district here in Orange County. It's not a red wave nationwide but it sure is here in Orange County, California. We have our very popular governor, Gavin Newsom, losing here to some no name republican 52-47. https://www.ocvote.gov/results/current-election-results

Statewide, Newsom crushed it 57 to 42 without even campaigning. https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/governor

Frankly, it's a miracle she's leading in this shitty district by 1.6% at the moment.

moose65

(3,168 posts)
44. Geez
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:31 PM
Nov 2022

I am generally in favor of independent redistricting commissions, but only if EVERY state has one. What good does it do for blue states to have them while red ones don’t? Ugh.

 

Just A Box Of Rain

(5,104 posts)
77. I'm not sure people realize what an accomplishment it for a liberal Democrat to win this district.
Sat Nov 12, 2022, 01:27 AM
Nov 2022

Calling it a "miracle" is right. No one else could do it--I'm afraid.

Porter is to be commended for this remarkable feat.

SunSeeker

(51,726 posts)
78. Oh I know. I knocked on doors for Katie last month. There are SO many MAGA loons in her district.
Sat Nov 12, 2022, 02:38 AM
Nov 2022

The scary ones were the right wing husbands or dads who were pissed their wives or daughters were Dem voters.

 

Just A Box Of Rain

(5,104 posts)
76. Not sure how they were investing their ad money, but for LA area television buys
Sat Nov 12, 2022, 01:20 AM
Nov 2022

it seemed to me that Porter had more presence on the airwaves than Scott Baugh.

He seemed to have virtually all anti-Porter ads (as opposite to positive ads to "establish" himself), where she ran a strong mix of both.

I wonder where the $9 million went???

I'm fair confident that she will prevail (and the gap will widen).

Not an easy district for a Democrat to win.

SunSeeker

(51,726 posts)
27. 47. She got shafted by our bipartisan redistricting commission.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:52 PM
Nov 2022

The Commission redrew her into a more conservative district here in Orange County. It's not a red wave nationwide but it sure is here in Orange County, California. We have our very popular governor, Gavin Newsom, losing here to some no name republican 52-47. https://www.ocvote.gov/results/current-election-results

Statewide, Newsom crushed it 57 to 42 without even campaigning. https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/governor

Frankly, it's a miracle she's leading in this shitty district by 1.6% at the moment.

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
30. Just so insane
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 03:56 PM
Nov 2022

Reps chop up Florida and add multiple Repukes to the Congress. Meanwhile, Dems drop the ball in NY where we lose seats there and now this. Glad to hear she is leading. I think Katie is not long for the House anyway, she will be due a promotion in the near future, Senate and then eventually I could see her in running for a cozy little place on the East Coast. If you can't tell yet this is my girl. Bring it home.

SunSeeker

(51,726 posts)
33. We Dems in CA set up a bipartisan redistricting commission.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:02 PM
Nov 2022

We bent over backwards to be fair, and gave Republicans way more power than they deserved, considering they're only about 30% of the CA electorate. And Republicans took advantage of it, bigly. Sucks. I sure hope she holds on to her 1.6% lead.

RockCreek

(739 posts)
34. Just asking
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:12 PM
Nov 2022

If Republicans are 30% of the electorate statewide, shouldn't that mean 30% of the seats on a bipartisan commission?

SunSeeker

(51,726 posts)
61. Nope! Dems get the same number of seats as Republicans. It's ridiculous.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 07:51 PM
Nov 2022
The California State Auditor randomly drew from the names remaining in the three sub-pools: three Democrats, three Republicans, and two from neither of those parties. These eight applicants became the first eight members of the Commission.

The first eight members of the Commission then selected the final six members of the Commission by selecting two commissioners from each of the three sub-pools.


https://wedrawthelines.ca.gov/faqs/

Celerity

(43,545 posts)
83. NY did not drop the ball, they were fucked over by the system that Cuomo rammed into place
Mon Nov 14, 2022, 02:08 AM
Nov 2022

years ago as part of his never ending quest for power concentration and wars with the libs/progs.

He is one of the big legitimate targets of blame if/when we lose the House.

The 2014 NY Constitutional redistricting change was a Cuomo-led dodgy gambit:

https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/what-went-wrong-new-yorks-redistricting

In 2014, one of Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s signature accomplishments was the passage of a constitutional amendment that changed the way the state’s political maps are drawn. Instead of the legislature drawing maps, a bipartisan advisory commission would draw maps in the first instance for consideration by the legislature. The amendment also for the first time created legally enforceable protections in state law against partisan gerrymandering.

At the time, Cuomo boasted that the amendment would “permanently reform the redistricting process in New York to once and for all end self-interested partisan gerrymandering.”

New York’s experience contrasts with that of states with more robust reforms like California and Michigan, where maps passed on a bipartisan basis (unanimously in California) and were upheld by courts. Here’s a look at three reasons why the New York process produced less than optimal results.

The 2014 New York reforms did not create a truly independent redistricting process.

Ultimately, most of the problems with how New York’s redistricting played out lie in the design of the 2014 reforms. Despite being described in New York law as “independent,” the changes in reality resulted in a process that remains far more open to political manipulation and is far less independent than those of states that adopted more comprehensive reforms.


Cuomo also prevented Dem control of the NY Senate for years with his Independent Democratic Conference (IDC) scheme. The IDC was a group of members of the New York State Senate from the Democratic Party who were elected as Democrats but formed a coalition to give the Republicans the majority in the chamber.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_Democratic_Conference

Founded January 5, 2011
Dissolved April 16, 2018

Split from Democratic Party of New York
Merged into Democratic Party of New York

Ideology Modern liberalism
Conservative liberalism

Seats in the State Senate (at dissolution)
8 / 63

The Independent Democratic Conference (IDC) was a group of members of the New York State Senate from the Democratic Party who were elected as Democrats but formed a coalition to give the Republicans the majority in the chamber, and attempted to create an independent caucus or a third caucus in the New York State Senate or a third party in the State of New York and prevent the Republican Party from gerrymandering the state senate districts of the 8 IDC members. At the time of its dissolution, the IDC included eight members: Jeffrey D. Klein, Marisol Alcantara, Tony Avella, David Carlucci, Jesse Hamilton, Jose Peralta, Diane Savino, and David Valesky.

Klein, Savino, Valesky, and Carlucci formed the IDC in 2011 due to disagreements with John L. Sampson, the Democratic leader in the New York State Senate. The IDC allied itself with Senate Republicans throughout its existence. During the 2013–14 legislative session, the IDC and the Senate Republican Conference controlled the Senate jointly, as the Senate Republicans did not have sufficient numbers to form a governing majority on their own.

snip

In the November 2012 elections, Democrats won a majority of seats in the State Senate. Following the election, the IDC formed a bipartisan coalition with the Senate Republican Conference that enabled the two conferences to control the Senate despite the Democrats' numerical majority. Under their power-sharing arrangement, the IDC and the Senate Republicans agreed to " decide what bills [would] reach the Senate floor each day of the session", would "dole out committee assignments", would "have the power to make appointments to state and local boards", and would "share negotiations over the state budget". Klein and Skelos also agreed that the title of Senate President would shift back and forth between the two of them every two weeks. Additionally, Simcha Felder, a Democratic senator-elect, announced he would caucus with the Republicans.

In December 2012, the IDC recruited Malcolm Smith to join its ranks. This move was part of a failed attempt by Smith to secure the Republican Party nomination in the New York City mayoral election; Smith was indicted on federal corruption charges, which led to his expulsion from the IDC on April 14, 2013, and his eventual conviction. On February 26, 2014, Tony Avella left the Senate Democratic Conference to join the IDC.

Governor Andrew Cuomo was actively involved in the formation of the conference, encouraging it to maintain Republican leadership of the chamber and providing tactical advice in order to keep more liberal New York City Democrats out of power.


And he DID pack the courts with conservatives.

The former governor stacked New York’s highest court with conservatives who hijacked the state’s redistricting process.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/11/2022-midterms-new-york-republicans-cuomo-maloney.html

A year ago, Democrats were wise to the possibility that the midterms might get ugly, but they had high hopes for New York. Red states across the country were redrawing voting districts to a new extreme, shoring up congressional advantages for their party. New York, it seemed, could do the same for Democrats—make the state even bluer, a competitive rejoinder to a redistricting cycle that seemed certain to play to Republicans’ advantage.

The year 2021 marked the first time in a century that the New York Democrats had total control of state government, giving them unimpeded power in redistricting. Party leaders “optimistically predicted that new district lines could safeguard Democrats and imperil as many as five Republican seats,” noted the New York Times. Rumors circulated that Dems could lock in as much as a 23 to 3 advantage. Today, all of that seems like a far-off fantasy.

A startling nine of New York’s 26 congressional seats are currently in play for the GOP; party leaders are flocking to the state to help campaign for Democrats holding on by a thread. Jill Biden announced Thursday that she would campaign for one such Democrat, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, who opted to run in an easier, bluer district and was put in charge of House Democrats’ entire national reelection apparatus, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. He’s now on the ropes.

What the hell happened here? And who’s to blame?

Luckily, there’s an easy answer for the last question: Look no further than erstwhile Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo.

If Cuomo is known for anything beyond his miscreant behavior in office, it should be for his willingness to abet the state’s conservative forces for his personal gain, often to his own party’s disadvantage. Nowhere was this more obvious than his judicial appointments, where Cuomo routinely elevated conservative appointees—gleefully scoring points against his progressive opponents in Albany and New York City by moving the judicial branch rapidly to the right.

snip


His never-ending quest for power concentration and hatred of the NYC+ liberal/prog block in the 2 statehouse chambers, especially the Senate, his dodgy, so-called independent redistricting schemes, and his conservative court packing could likely be the coups de grâce that end up costing us control of the US House in 2022.

The original Dem map (26 seats, NY lost one seat to redistricting due to a TINY few thousand falling short in population)

in NY was

23-3 Dem favouring

21-5 strong Dem favouring

If we lose NY-22 (not looking good at all)

the final results will be a disastrous

15 Dem 11 Rethug


so a net swing loss of 12 to 16 seats (6 to 8 loss for us, 6 to 8 gain for the Rethugs)



 

Just A Box Of Rain

(5,104 posts)
47. Old 45. New (current election) 47.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:42 PM
Nov 2022

Reapportionment resulted in heavily redrawn districts and much of Porter's core area was shifted into the new 47.

I hope that makes sense.

ColinC

(8,335 posts)
37. She'll be fine
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:25 PM
Nov 2022

Most of these California districts are going to look a LOT different once most of the mail votes are counted. My guess is the nearly tied races will end up being Dem landslides, and the ones with Rs leading a ton are going to Democrats more narrowly.

LeftInTX

(25,566 posts)
50. Those R seats are in R areas. I don't think they're flipping.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:12 PM
Nov 2022

They were R before and have R incumbents in them.

Katie more than likely will win.

ColinC

(8,335 posts)
55. They are purple not red
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:22 PM
Nov 2022

I lived in CA27 for several years. A big part is a working/ middle class suburbs largely POC mixed with a lot of military and contractor folks.

Garcia for instance barely won in 2020 both times. He held in by a super thin margin in the special and even a thinner 300 or so vote margin last cycle when no Dem knocked on doors due to Covid. The mail ins also narrowed each margin from double digit leads to dead even as they came in towards the end.

LA county counts slow, and the votes left to count (about 40% or more of the total) are heavily Dem.

NoMoreRepugs

(9,472 posts)
40. Democrats will forever bring baked goods to the street fights we are going to have across this
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:55 PM
Nov 2022

country till the end of fucking time. I'm spitting coffee here.......

 

Just A Box Of Rain

(5,104 posts)
43. The districts have been significantly re-drawn.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:28 PM
Nov 2022

Katie Porter has represented CA 45, but much of her former district is now CA 47 (and that's the seat she is competing for now).

Both her old 45 and new 47 have a very significant Republican demographic of the "old-school" white Reagan-style Orange County voters plus a growing Asian population (that breaks both ways).

This area was solid Red historically. Not so-much MAGA-country, but wealthy and quite conservative.

It is an absolute tribute to Katie Porter that she's captured and held a seat in what's not really in friendly territory for Democrats, and the new district seems like it is even more challenging the her last.

My only concern about Porter making a Senate run (since she'd be great), is that I believe CA 47 would almost certainly flip to the GOP.

Her current opponent, Scott Baugh, is a low-grade candidate, where she is a super-star, yet the race is still very close. That's due to the unfavorable demographics.

FakeNoose

(32,777 posts)
45. Here's the rundown on CA-47 as of 4:30 p.m. EST
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:31 PM
Nov 2022


I just made this screen shot of Katie Porter's District, where 63% of the votes have been counted.

She's currently ahead of her opponent by about 3,000 votes. It's going to be tight, but she's still winning.

Positive vibes for Katie are needed!

(link) https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/california-house-results

Pepsidog

(6,254 posts)
46. She loses then her district should get free mental health evals for those who voted against her.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:39 PM
Nov 2022

She is a real hero to middle class America. Stunning she would even need to worry. A good portion of the country suffers from mass psychosis.

KY_EnviroGuy

(14,494 posts)
49. Reps Pelosi and Porter and Sen. Warren are my heroes.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:07 PM
Nov 2022

This old man says they are shining stars as exemplary moral and leadership examples for our youth. They know how to lean in.

Rep. Porter gives my heart a lift each time I see her in the news.


KY......

Mz Pip

(27,453 posts)
52. I got an email
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:20 PM
Nov 2022

In person ballots have been counted. It’s the mail in ones that are outstanding. Should be good for her.

summer_in_TX

(2,755 posts)
58. Jon Stewart had her on his The Problem podcast.
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 07:18 PM
Nov 2022

Turns out members of Congress are not allowed to use footage from C-SPAN (even though news media can) in commercials. So she isn’t able to show herself working or demonstrate her effectiveness in ads.

She was brilliant in her interview and there was a lot of “meat” in it. Her part comes in maybe a quarter of the way through.

“The Midterms, Inflation, and Crime with Rep. Katie Porter | The Problem with Jon Stewart.”

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,145 posts)
64. Took these pics Monday at a canvassing event with the Pod Save America guys...
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 08:40 PM
Nov 2022




They were very engaged in her 2018 run as well.

Upthevibe

(8,074 posts)
67. I heard today on The Stephanie Miller show
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 09:57 PM
Nov 2022

that she has been declared the winner.....

I know a lot of chattering and pontificating goes on during these type of shows but I thought for sure either she or one of her sidekicks said it'd been called....

bdamomma

(63,923 posts)
68. I love Katie Porter
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 10:04 PM
Nov 2022

I love how she questions corporate men when they are in front of the committee she's on. Chews them alive. Smart as a whip she is.

bdamomma

(63,923 posts)
69. I love Katie Porter
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 10:04 PM
Nov 2022

I love how she questions corporate men when they are in front of the committee she's on. Chews them alive. Smart as a whip she is.

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