General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsKatie Porter needs some positive vibes!
It's close race right now. We need, NEED this woman in our government and at the highest level. She's a brilliant woman!
ck4829
(35,091 posts)Traildogbob
(8,827 posts)This AM she had already won. Just damn all this delay and misinformation.
Go Katie. Damn we need her.
LymphocyteLover
(5,654 posts)Traildogbob
(8,827 posts)Maybe just what I wanted to hear.
TigressDem
(5,125 posts)2022 US election results Live Updated at 8:10 AM CST
Districts California · District 47
67% reporting
Front-runner
Katie Porter
Democratic Party
51.2%
100,228 votes
Scott Baugh
Republican Party
48.8%
95,673 votes
TigressDem
(5,125 posts)We stopped updating these forecasts at 4 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. 9, as the bulk of the remaining races will be decided by mail ballots that will take days to count. These graphics and estimates will no longer be updated.
kwolf68
(7,365 posts)She is EXACTLY what this nation needs, period. She's amazing, one of my favorite leaders. I am sending whatever positive vibes I can muster, pull this one out Katie.
JCMach1
(27,574 posts)Sen. From CA ... And who knows from there
If she stays in the House, Madame Speaker
ShazzieB
(16,539 posts)Katie Porter is awesome!
Great idea, she would make a fantastic president
Samrob
(4,298 posts)Irish_Dem
(47,453 posts)blm
(113,101 posts)Can't have an honest, brilliant women calling bullshit on corporate greed and hegemony. NO, can't have anyone like that in the halls of government. She is fabulous, I feel about her like I felt about Senator Wellstone, just adore her.
LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)Don't know how redistricting affected it though.
AlexSFCA
(6,139 posts)LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)seta1950
(933 posts)blm
(113,101 posts)SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)Dems bend over backwards to play fair and Republicans never play fair. The Commission shafted Katie Porter by redrawing her into a more conservative district here in Orange County. It's not a red wave nationwide but it sure is here in Orange County, California. We have our very popular governor, Gavin Newsom, losing here to some no name republican 52-47. https://www.ocvote.gov/results/current-election-results
Statewide, Newsom crushed it 57 to 42 without even campaigning. https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/governor
Frankly, it's a miracle she's leading in this shitty district by 1.6% at the moment.
peppertree
(21,674 posts)I lived in Irvine when Bob Dornan was ousted by Loretta Sánchez. Republicans left and right were spitting and swearing they'd "move to Mission Viejo!" (which at the time was represented by that do-nothing back-bencher Ron Packard).
It was a shock - but fortunately, the starting shot of what ended up becoming a much more purple Orange County.
I miss the old O.C. - but it's too expensive for my sorry bones, sadly.
GreenWave
(6,766 posts)They took away Blue Norfolk. She loses by 11,000. It gets assigned to perennial Democrat winner 3rd District Bobby Scott who obliterates his opponent by 70,000 + votes.
markodochartaigh
(1,155 posts)had gerrymandered the way that Florida, Texas, or Ohio has done the House would probably already be in Democratic hands. Democratic states have non partisan commissions or are slapped down by Republican judges (in New York) while Florida actually let the governor draw the map, and Republican states like Ohio and Texas are allowed by Republican judges to gerrymander away.
Dark n Stormy Knight
(9,771 posts)Here in my majority white, red-leaning, semi-rural district, we've never had to wait more than half an hour. Usually far less.
Seeing those incredibly long lines some voters have to wait in hour after hour raises my ire. How anyone can defend that, I'll never know.
certainot
(9,090 posts)all the time. it's malpractice. they're not doing due diligence.
on the other hand, her constituents also let her down in that regard. i'll bet the national talkers on those stations got some talking points and have been mentioning/attacking katie once in while as well to reinforce the local blowhards.
dems had no response when limbaugh started the attacks on AOC. right after she was elected and stuck her head out limbaugh spent signoficanat time on one show that i heard doing some stochastic terrorism. he said she wash so radical pelosi and the liberal media and dem establishment were going to have to "take her out". he kept using that phrase in a number of ways. how many other times did he do that?
in NY state uni of Syracuse support 9 rw stations that likely have been attacking AOC and maloney for years. and that school is 150 miles from the buffalo shooting and for over 30 years all RW stations, by definition, have been excusing racism, selling versions of 'replacement theory' to sell their voter suppression, and comforting the NRA and assault weapons after every shooting.
usually someone in a think tank somewhere comes up with derogatory nickname for dems like katie, or a meme, and they just keep using it and repeating it for years.
the dem party and allies and supporters let this shit happen all over the country with no response. we even let hundreds of schools and sports teams be used to attract advertisers for them.
how many votes and threats is that worth?
eppur_se_muova
(36,299 posts)LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)I think it's just CA delays.
intrepidity
(7,337 posts)SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)🏄?♀️ 🏄?♂️
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)But if she doesn't, SHE'll do okay even if we don't. Remember, electoral office is not the only place political power is exercised and is not the only way she can serve the public good. She would have a number of excellent opportunities and be able to run again in 2 years if she chose.
Sympthsical
(9,121 posts)Ah, redistricting. It takes us forever to count votes.
It's a good thing, don't get me wrong. But it's funny, because now the rest of the country has to watch what we deal with every election. We don't really have an Election Day. We have an Election Week that can easily devolve into Election Month.
Welcome, rest of America! To the place where election reactions are, "Wait, is that still going on?"
Sibelius Fan
(24,396 posts)We have a non-partisan outfit here in CA that draws the districts. I hope shee not a victim of that process.
LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)Her old district is a swing district.
If this is her new district, it looks better than her old district, but what do I know???
The new district looks more urban, but maps can be deceiving.
I'm in Texas
New District? (From Wikipedia)
Old District
Cook had it Lean Democratic, then Toss Up
world wide wally
(21,755 posts)No wonder Repukes hate her
kwolf68
(7,365 posts)She is a rock star. I could give a rats ass about Bobo or whatever, THIS is a seat I want to keep. Katie's voice is absolutely mandatory. My wife and I love her "white board" ass kickings she routinely gives oligarchs.
appalachiablue
(41,177 posts)BComplex
(8,067 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,658 posts)Thats why this race is close.
LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)kwolf68
(7,365 posts)Democracy on the auction block.
SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)Worse, the CA Bipartisan Redistricting Commission shafted Katie Porter by redrawing her into a more conservative district here in Orange County. It's not a red wave nationwide but it sure is here in Orange County, California. We have our very popular governor, Gavin Newsom, losing here to some no name republican 52-47. https://www.ocvote.gov/results/current-election-results
Statewide, Newsom crushed it 57 to 42 without even campaigning. https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/governor
Frankly, it's a miracle she's leading in this shitty district by 1.6% at the moment.
I am generally in favor of independent redistricting commissions, but only if EVERY state has one. What good does it do for blue states to have them while red ones dont? Ugh.
SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)Calling it a "miracle" is right. No one else could do it--I'm afraid.
Porter is to be commended for this remarkable feat.
SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)The scary ones were the right wing husbands or dads who were pissed their wives or daughters were Dem voters.
Genki Hikari
(1,766 posts)Did you mean the DCCC?
Fiendish Thingy
(15,658 posts)Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)it seemed to me that Porter had more presence on the airwaves than Scott Baugh.
He seemed to have virtually all anti-Porter ads (as opposite to positive ads to "establish" himself), where she ran a strong mix of both.
I wonder where the $9 million went???
I'm fair confident that she will prevail (and the gap will widen).
Not an easy district for a Democrat to win.
Sogo
(4,997 posts)SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)The Commission redrew her into a more conservative district here in Orange County. It's not a red wave nationwide but it sure is here in Orange County, California. We have our very popular governor, Gavin Newsom, losing here to some no name republican 52-47. https://www.ocvote.gov/results/current-election-results
Statewide, Newsom crushed it 57 to 42 without even campaigning. https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/governor
Frankly, it's a miracle she's leading in this shitty district by 1.6% at the moment.
kwolf68
(7,365 posts)Reps chop up Florida and add multiple Repukes to the Congress. Meanwhile, Dems drop the ball in NY where we lose seats there and now this. Glad to hear she is leading. I think Katie is not long for the House anyway, she will be due a promotion in the near future, Senate and then eventually I could see her in running for a cozy little place on the East Coast. If you can't tell yet this is my girl. Bring it home.
Sogo
(4,997 posts)SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)We bent over backwards to be fair, and gave Republicans way more power than they deserved, considering they're only about 30% of the CA electorate. And Republicans took advantage of it, bigly. Sucks. I sure hope she holds on to her 1.6% lead.
RockCreek
(739 posts)If Republicans are 30% of the electorate statewide, shouldn't that mean 30% of the seats on a bipartisan commission?
SickOfTheOnePct
(7,290 posts)SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)The first eight members of the Commission then selected the final six members of the Commission by selecting two commissioners from each of the three sub-pools.
https://wedrawthelines.ca.gov/faqs/
Celerity
(43,545 posts)years ago as part of his never ending quest for power concentration and wars with the libs/progs.
He is one of the big legitimate targets of blame if/when we lose the House.
The 2014 NY Constitutional redistricting change was a Cuomo-led dodgy gambit:
In 2014, one of Gov. Andrew Cuomos signature accomplishments was the passage of a constitutional amendment that changed the way the states political maps are drawn. Instead of the legislature drawing maps, a bipartisan advisory commission would draw maps in the first instance for consideration by the legislature. The amendment also for the first time created legally enforceable protections in state law against partisan gerrymandering.
At the time, Cuomo boasted that the amendment would permanently reform the redistricting process in New York to once and for all end self-interested partisan gerrymandering.
New Yorks experience contrasts with that of states with more robust reforms like California and Michigan, where maps passed on a bipartisan basis (unanimously in California) and were upheld by courts. Heres a look at three reasons why the New York process produced less than optimal results.
The 2014 New York reforms did not create a truly independent redistricting process.
Ultimately, most of the problems with how New Yorks redistricting played out lie in the design of the 2014 reforms. Despite being described in New York law as independent, the changes in reality resulted in a process that remains far more open to political manipulation and is far less independent than those of states that adopted more comprehensive reforms.
Cuomo also prevented Dem control of the NY Senate for years with his Independent Democratic Conference (IDC) scheme. The IDC was a group of members of the New York State Senate from the Democratic Party who were elected as Democrats but formed a coalition to give the Republicans the majority in the chamber.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_Democratic_Conference
Dissolved April 16, 2018
Split from Democratic Party of New York
Merged into Democratic Party of New York
Ideology Modern liberalism
Conservative liberalism
Seats in the State Senate (at dissolution)
8 / 63
The Independent Democratic Conference (IDC) was a group of members of the New York State Senate from the Democratic Party who were elected as Democrats but formed a coalition to give the Republicans the majority in the chamber, and attempted to create an independent caucus or a third caucus in the New York State Senate or a third party in the State of New York and prevent the Republican Party from gerrymandering the state senate districts of the 8 IDC members. At the time of its dissolution, the IDC included eight members: Jeffrey D. Klein, Marisol Alcantara, Tony Avella, David Carlucci, Jesse Hamilton, Jose Peralta, Diane Savino, and David Valesky.
Klein, Savino, Valesky, and Carlucci formed the IDC in 2011 due to disagreements with John L. Sampson, the Democratic leader in the New York State Senate. The IDC allied itself with Senate Republicans throughout its existence. During the 201314 legislative session, the IDC and the Senate Republican Conference controlled the Senate jointly, as the Senate Republicans did not have sufficient numbers to form a governing majority on their own.
snip
In the November 2012 elections, Democrats won a majority of seats in the State Senate. Following the election, the IDC formed a bipartisan coalition with the Senate Republican Conference that enabled the two conferences to control the Senate despite the Democrats' numerical majority. Under their power-sharing arrangement, the IDC and the Senate Republicans agreed to " decide what bills [would] reach the Senate floor each day of the session", would "dole out committee assignments", would "have the power to make appointments to state and local boards", and would "share negotiations over the state budget". Klein and Skelos also agreed that the title of Senate President would shift back and forth between the two of them every two weeks. Additionally, Simcha Felder, a Democratic senator-elect, announced he would caucus with the Republicans.
In December 2012, the IDC recruited Malcolm Smith to join its ranks. This move was part of a failed attempt by Smith to secure the Republican Party nomination in the New York City mayoral election; Smith was indicted on federal corruption charges, which led to his expulsion from the IDC on April 14, 2013, and his eventual conviction. On February 26, 2014, Tony Avella left the Senate Democratic Conference to join the IDC.
Governor Andrew Cuomo was actively involved in the formation of the conference, encouraging it to maintain Republican leadership of the chamber and providing tactical advice in order to keep more liberal New York City Democrats out of power.
And he DID pack the courts with conservatives.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/11/2022-midterms-new-york-republicans-cuomo-maloney.html
A year ago, Democrats were wise to the possibility that the midterms might get ugly, but they had high hopes for New York. Red states across the country were redrawing voting districts to a new extreme, shoring up congressional advantages for their party. New York, it seemed, could do the same for Democratsmake the state even bluer, a competitive rejoinder to a redistricting cycle that seemed certain to play to Republicans advantage.
The year 2021 marked the first time in a century that the New York Democrats had total control of state government, giving them unimpeded power in redistricting. Party leaders optimistically predicted that new district lines could safeguard Democrats and imperil as many as five Republican seats, noted the New York Times. Rumors circulated that Dems could lock in as much as a 23 to 3 advantage. Today, all of that seems like a far-off fantasy.
A startling nine of New Yorks 26 congressional seats are currently in play for the GOP; party leaders are flocking to the state to help campaign for Democrats holding on by a thread. Jill Biden announced Thursday that she would campaign for one such Democrat, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, who opted to run in an easier, bluer district and was put in charge of House Democrats entire national reelection apparatus, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Hes now on the ropes.
What the hell happened here? And whos to blame?
Luckily, theres an easy answer for the last question: Look no further than erstwhile Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo.
If Cuomo is known for anything beyond his miscreant behavior in office, it should be for his willingness to abet the states conservative forces for his personal gain, often to his own partys disadvantage. Nowhere was this more obvious than his judicial appointments, where Cuomo routinely elevated conservative appointeesgleefully scoring points against his progressive opponents in Albany and New York City by moving the judicial branch rapidly to the right.
snip
His never-ending quest for power concentration and hatred of the NYC+ liberal/prog block in the 2 statehouse chambers, especially the Senate, his dodgy, so-called independent redistricting schemes, and his conservative court packing could likely be the coups de grâce that end up costing us control of the US House in 2022.
The original Dem map (26 seats, NY lost one seat to redistricting due to a TINY few thousand falling short in population)
in NY was
23-3 Dem favouring
21-5 strong Dem favouring
If we lose NY-22 (not looking good at all)
the final results will be a disastrous
15 Dem 11 Rethug
so a net swing loss of 12 to 16 seats (6 to 8 loss for us, 6 to 8 gain for the Rethugs)
Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)Reapportionment resulted in heavily redrawn districts and much of Porter's core area was shifted into the new 47.
I hope that makes sense.
bringthePaine
(1,733 posts)JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)ColinC
(8,335 posts)Most of these California districts are going to look a LOT different once most of the mail votes are counted. My guess is the nearly tied races will end up being Dem landslides, and the ones with Rs leading a ton are going to Democrats more narrowly.
LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)They were R before and have R incumbents in them.
Katie more than likely will win.
ColinC
(8,335 posts)I lived in CA27 for several years. A big part is a working/ middle class suburbs largely POC mixed with a lot of military and contractor folks.
Garcia for instance barely won in 2020 both times. He held in by a super thin margin in the special and even a thinner 300 or so vote margin last cycle when no Dem knocked on doors due to Covid. The mail ins also narrowed each margin from double digit leads to dead even as they came in towards the end.
LA county counts slow, and the votes left to count (about 40% or more of the total) are heavily Dem.
NoMoreRepugs
(9,472 posts)country till the end of fucking time. I'm spitting coffee here.......
marieo1
(1,402 posts)I love Katie Porter........she is one of the super bright women we need in power!!
Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)Katie Porter has represented CA 45, but much of her former district is now CA 47 (and that's the seat she is competing for now).
Both her old 45 and new 47 have a very significant Republican demographic of the "old-school" white Reagan-style Orange County voters plus a growing Asian population (that breaks both ways).
This area was solid Red historically. Not so-much MAGA-country, but wealthy and quite conservative.
It is an absolute tribute to Katie Porter that she's captured and held a seat in what's not really in friendly territory for Democrats, and the new district seems like it is even more challenging the her last.
My only concern about Porter making a Senate run (since she'd be great), is that I believe CA 47 would almost certainly flip to the GOP.
Her current opponent, Scott Baugh, is a low-grade candidate, where she is a super-star, yet the race is still very close. That's due to the unfavorable demographics.
FakeNoose
(32,777 posts)I just made this screen shot of Katie Porter's District, where 63% of the votes have been counted.
She's currently ahead of her opponent by about 3,000 votes. It's going to be tight, but she's still winning.
Positive vibes for Katie are needed!
(link) https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/california-house-results
Pepsidog
(6,254 posts)She is a real hero to middle class America. Stunning she would even need to worry. A good portion of the country suffers from mass psychosis.
KY_EnviroGuy
(14,494 posts)This old man says they are shining stars as exemplary moral and leadership examples for our youth. They know how to lean in.
Rep. Porter gives my heart a lift each time I see her in the news.
KY......
Mz Pip
(27,453 posts)In person ballots have been counted. Its the mail in ones that are outstanding. Should be good for her.
LeftInTX
(25,566 posts)ffr
(22,672 posts)SleeplessinSoCal
(9,145 posts)Ive been checking this link several times a day...
https://www.businessinsider.com/results-katie-porter-scott-baugh-californias-47th-district-house-election-2022-11
She WILL be my Rep!
republianmushroom
(13,704 posts)summer_in_TX
(2,755 posts)Turns out members of Congress are not allowed to use footage from C-SPAN (even though news media can) in commercials. So she isnt able to show herself working or demonstrate her effectiveness in ads.
She was brilliant in her interview and there was a lot of meat in it. Her part comes in maybe a quarter of the way through.
The Midterms, Inflation, and Crime with Rep. Katie Porter | The Problem with Jon Stewart.
SleeplessinSoCal
(9,145 posts)They were very engaged in her 2018 run as well.
burrowowl
(17,652 posts)Joinfortmill
(14,467 posts)Upthevibe
(8,074 posts)that she has been declared the winner.....
I know a lot of chattering and pontificating goes on during these type of shows but I thought for sure either she or one of her sidekicks said it'd been called....
SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)bdamomma
(63,923 posts)I love how she questions corporate men when they are in front of the committee she's on. Chews them alive. Smart as a whip she is.
bdamomma
(63,923 posts)I love how she questions corporate men when they are in front of the committee she's on. Chews them alive. Smart as a whip she is.