Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

NRaleighLiberal

(59,940 posts)
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:07 PM Nov 2012

Predictions, anyone? First thoughts on Tues PM, EST.. Timings!

7 PM - VT poll closes - Obama 3

7:30 - OH and NC close, too close to call

8 PM - CT, DE, IL, ME, MD, MA, NJ, RI, DC for Obama, taking him to 79

FL, MO, NH, PA will be too close to call at 8

9 PM - NY takes Obama to 108

Between 9-10 PA goes to Obama taking him to 128

CO, MI, MN, NM, WI too close to call

10 PM - IA and NV too close to call

between 10-11, Obama picks up OH, MI, MN, NM and WI - takes Obama to 187

11 PM - CA, HI, OR, WA to Obama, taking him to 265

between 11-12, NV to Obama - puts him at 271 - then come VA, NC, FL, NH, IA, and CO - final total 347 EVs.

Let's say that the election is called at 11:15.....

Optimistic? that's my current guess - you have it here!

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

dhill926

(16,234 posts)
1. I think it's like 2008 in that....
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:09 PM
Nov 2012

Virginia will be the key. We get that, we win big. If not, we just win.....

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
2. This will be a somewhat longer night than last time. I think he wins by 1 in the morning.
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:11 PM
Nov 2012

Wi or Oh will put him over the top. But if you are right than he is winning bigger than expected.

mulsh

(2,959 posts)
7. At around 8pm PST TV Pundits wil start moving on to ernestly discussing the 2016 race.
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:59 AM
Nov 2012

I'm fairly sure even the crew on MSNBC election night broadcast will be doing this. Hillary and Jeb will get lots of mentions. They've got to grease the massive advertizing revenue skids.

I think you time line is about right in calling the 2012 election results.

LisaL

(44,962 posts)
8. If OH is close, because of absentee/provisional ballots there, we might have to wait much
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:01 AM
Nov 2012

longer than that.
Could be weeks.

MineralMan

(146,192 posts)
10. I like your 11:15 EST estimate.
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 11:02 AM
Nov 2012

I'm in the Central time zone, and I'd like to shut off the TV and get some sleep around 10 PM.

Actually, if Obama wins Ohio, which I'm sure he will, and that gets called, I'll probably turn in then.

 

truebrit71

(20,805 posts)
12. Yup, if OH gets called for Obama then I think it's lights out for Rmoney...
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:52 AM
Nov 2012

...the only question left after that will be just how bad of an ass kicking will the Greed/Lying ticket get...

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Predictions, anyone? Fir...