Detailed Rundown of the 2022 Senate Races

[Celerity]

Last edited Mon Dec 28, 2020, 12:20 AM - Edit history (2)

I can see picking up (as long as we lose no seats) 3 to 6 or 7 seats, We need good candidates! I am still raging that in 2020, we only had THREE (AZ, CO, MT) out of 13 remotely flippable races with the best candidates running. Schumer and Cortez Masto were so poor in recruiting and it cost us 5 seats or so. Some of it is deffo on the people who refused to run as well. Unless we pull big upsets in both the GA runoffs, the Senate under Moscow McTurtle is going to fuck us bad for the next 2 years at least.

2022 US Senate 'in-play' races

At-Risk (even if marginal) Dems

In order of risk to us

Georgia (IF Warnock wins the runoff with Loeffler)
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto (Brian Sandoval would be by far the toughest Rethug to beat)
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan (her two strongest opponents would probably be Former Senator Kelly Ayotte and Governor Sununu, the Rethugs flipped BOTH the State Senate and the State House in 2020 and now hold a Trifecta)
Arizona Mark Kelly (It will not be McSally running against him, lolol)
Vermont Patrick Leahy (IF he retires, the very popular Rethug Governor Phil Scott may prove to be trouble)
Colorado Michael Bennet (I see little chance for him to lose)


Possible Rethug Flips

In order of risk to the Rethugs

Pennsylvania Open Seat
North Carolina Open Seat (Jeff Jackson can win this for us I think, he would have won in 2020 I am fairly sure)
Wisconsin Ron Johnson (asshat deluxe, I fucking hate this clown)
Georgia Loeffler (unless we win it in the runoff)
Florida Marco Rubio (will be fairly hard to beat him)
Iowa Chuck Grassley (may retire he will turn 90yo in the first year of his next term if he runs, if he retires we have a good shot, Vilsack should run, he should have ran in 2020!)
Kansas Jerry Moran Only shot we have, and it would be a good one, is if Sibelius runs this time, she should have ran in 2020!) If she refuses again, forget winning this seat.
Kentucky Rand Paul (fucking berk)
Ohio Rob Portman
Indiana Todd Young (no clue if Buttigieg would try, Indiana is SO Red now, ffs)
Missouri Roy Blunt

[Thekaspervote]

1. Mark Kelly will do just fine. He's taken McCain's place as AZ favorite son..very beloved

[Celerity]

2. I am taking nothing for granted, especially given the historical results of a POTUS's first midterms

I saw far too much overconfidence on this board about the Senate for ages. I had been warning about the failure to get the strongest candidates for so long, and I was unfortunately proven to be correct.

[progressoid]

3. I think we need someone new and energetic for Iowa.

And someone who can win the rural vote. Not sure Vilsack is the person to do that.

[Celerity]

4. I am open to anyone who faces up better than Greenfield did. Visack was a very popular 2 term

Governor and then United States Secretary of Agriculture for 8 years.

[In It to Win It]

5. I don't see Kentucky as a possible flip. Too red of a state

I’m in Florida. MY LIFE’S MISSION over the next two years is to involuntarily retire Marco Rubio.

[Celerity]

6. I tried to put them into somewhat of an order, & I did say the range was 3 -7, which precludes KY

more than likely.

[In It to Win It]

7. I think Ohio is a strong possible. Should be a little higher on the list

Get a union loving Sherrod Brown type of guy. Get a rural Democrat if they can find one.

Ohio is more more of a possible than Kentucky or Kansas.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

8. Iowa

Vilsack is one possibility. My choice to run against Grassley would be 2-term (just re-elected), Congresswoman Cindy Axne. I'm guessing that Kim Reynolds will run as the GOP candidate.

IIRC, Florida will be complicated by the fact that DeSantis will also be up for re-election for Governor.

[Polybius]

9. I think Grassley is running

If he does, he wins.

Who will be running in NC? By open, is someone retiring? Also, Florida has moved greatly rightward this past 4 years. Rubio is not losing.