Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

reggieandlee

(778 posts)
Sat Jul 4, 2020, 10:17 AM Jul 2020

BTRTN: Is Trump Going, Going, Gone?

Born To Run The Numbers provides its month-in-review for June which may prove to be the month in which Donald Trump's prospects for re-election were shattered:

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/07/btrtn-is-trump-going-going-gone.html

Excerpts: "Should Donald Trump lose his bid for re-election come November, the historians will point to June of 2020 as the inflection point. It was a month when Trump’s failures were laid bare, when relevant polling data moved materially downward, and when Trump veered from near irrelevance to near disappearance. The verdict on his management of COVID-19, the largest crisis of his presidency, is now clear, his economic recovery strategy -- the 're-opening' -- now giving way to 're-shutdowns' across the country. Trump also found an issue that made him part company with a significant portion of the Republican Party, when he chose a hard line response to nightly national protests for police reform and racial justice. Beyond these two seismic issues, Trump also stumbled, or was embarrassed, or flat out beaten on any number of issues in a breathtaking losing streak towards the end of the month...
"The Losing Streak. Apart from the disastrous rise of the coronavirus (and the threat to economic recovery) and the misfire on racial justice, Trump endured an incredible string of bad news, to wit... (1) The botched ouster of Geoffrey Berman, (2) The disastrous Tulsa event...the mobs never showed in Tulsa, unless they were disguised as empty blue seats, (3) The Supreme Court made three rulings, in quick succession, that horrified conservatives and repudiated the Trump Justice Department , (4) John Bolton’s long awaited memoir on his time in the White House was finally published, containing many stories of Trump incompetence and dysfunction..."
"The final punchline of Trump’s downward trajectory would be his defeat in November. And the picture – as of now – is grim, for him. According to our BTRTN models, Joe Biden would have an 82% chance of winning the presidency if the election were held today."

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
BTRTN: Is Trump Going, Going, Gone? (Original Post) reggieandlee Jul 2020 OP
This doesn't even touch on his latest scandal. MoonchildCA Jul 2020 #1
...and the ones to come before 11.3.2020: The Day of Wreckoning! Brainfodder Jul 2020 #2
His whole life is just a barrel full of scandals. MoonchildCA Jul 2020 #3
GROSS is the word I use to describe it. Brainfodder Jul 2020 #4
Yes, the author did mention the latest Russian scandal reggieandlee Jul 2020 #5
Every time I read a BTRTN prognostication, I can't help but remember this... regnaD kciN Jul 2020 #6
Fair enough tgards79 Jul 2020 #7

Brainfodder

(6,423 posts)
4. GROSS is the word I use to describe it.
Sat Jul 4, 2020, 12:56 PM
Jul 2020

4000+ lawsuits, only a YUGE asshole would have that many?

The myriad of BAD that we know about....

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
6. Every time I read a BTRTN prognostication, I can't help but remember this...
Sat Jul 4, 2020, 05:19 PM
Jul 2020
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/11/btrtns-official-predictions-hillary.html

Any prognostications don't mean a thing if we don't get out the vote on Election Day!
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»BTRTN: Is Trump Going, Go...