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Fri Mar 27, 2020, 07:53 PM

Reality vs trump bullshit,

Left = 14 Days shut down = 128m infect
Right = 2 months shut down = 14m infect

Link NYTimes Graph,

https://t.co/mQ6BgU2uqX?amp=1

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Response to magicarpet (Original post)

Fri Mar 27, 2020, 07:57 PM

1. Trump's plan has nothing to do with science, and everything to do with politics.

He is obsessed with avoiding indictment, and retaining power.

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Response to guillaumeb (Reply #1)

Fri Mar 27, 2020, 09:02 PM

3. The stupid thing is that his best bet is actually to keep the death toll as low as possible.

I don't think Americans are going to tolerate a huge death toll, especially if it's clear that it is higher than necessary due to dumbass' negligence. I know everyone is on edge, but it won't take too many R voters to flip or not vote to swing the election our way.

He's so stupid he can only think about the next 15 minutes. Even my dog can think longer term than this.

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Response to cos dem (Reply #3)

Sun Mar 29, 2020, 01:24 PM

5. It is the "next fiscal quarter" theory so popular on the right.

Only worry about the next 90 days.

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Response to magicarpet (Original post)

Fri Mar 27, 2020, 08:08 PM

2. Now that he has gotten his feet wet,..

.... he wants to get that second term so he can swindle and plunder the US Treasury like none have done before.

$$$$$$$$$$

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Response to magicarpet (Original post)

Sat Mar 28, 2020, 02:30 AM

4. Difference between 40,000 to 160,000 deaths and 370,000 to 1.5 million

For projection of deaths assuming the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures, see the Total Deaths graph on the following page (from Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington)

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Using the same mortality rate for both scenarios graphed in the NY Times projections, we can expect the number of deaths estimated by IHME to increase 9.14 times if social distancing ends prematurely.

Of course, the mortality rate for the "go back to business as usual" scenario would be much higher because hospitals would be utterly overwhelmed. I have no idea how much higher the mortality rate would be, but if the current estimate of 1.5% became 3%, you'd be talking 320,000 to 3 million deaths.

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