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Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:22 PM

One of the best analyses I've seen on the pandemic.

I can't make a clickable link for some reason known only to DU (I think it doesn't like the @ sign).

You'll have to copy and paste this address in your browser:


https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca


It includes this graphic, just to whet your appetite.


9 replies, 1471 views

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply One of the best analyses I've seen on the pandemic. (Original post)
LudwigPastorius Mar 2020 OP
Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #1
LudwigPastorius Mar 2020 #2
uppityperson Mar 2020 #3
canetoad Mar 2020 #4
UpInArms Mar 2020 #5
LudwigPastorius Mar 2020 #6
UpInArms Mar 2020 #7
DeminPennswoods Mar 2020 #8
GusBob Mar 2020 #9

Response to LudwigPastorius (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:24 PM

1. Yep, the at sign breaks the link. Try this one:

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Response to Dennis Donovan (Reply #1)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:25 PM

2. Gracias!

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Response to LudwigPastorius (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:49 PM

3. That is really good, thank you. The # of hospital beds for USA? Whew.

It's going to be an interesting time.

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Response to LudwigPastorius (Original post)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 12:07 AM

4. Another way to visit site

If you're using Firefox. Highlight the whole link (below) Right click, open in new tab. Works with most links.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

PS Thanks. Informative site.

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Response to LudwigPastorius (Original post)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 12:31 AM

5. Thank you

That was very informative

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Response to UpInArms (Reply #5)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 12:36 AM

6. The assertion that we may be looking at...


double the number of cases every two days struck me.


That is basically what is happening in Italy.

Two weeks ago: 322 cases.
One week ago: 2,502 cases.
Today: 10,149 cases.

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Response to LudwigPastorius (Reply #6)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 08:08 AM

7. What I was most alarmed by

Was that for every 400 cases that we have diagnosed (because of lack of testing) is that there are probably 1,500 in the wild

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Response to LudwigPastorius (Reply #6)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 08:33 AM

8. Italy is maybe not a good comparison

because of the cultural inclination to live in multi-generational households. Last night Maddow had a NYT health and science reporter on. He was talking about how China and S Korea are dealing with the outbreak. He said it was discovered early on that the biggest contributor to spread of the disease was family and so as soon as there is an indication (fever) of illness, that person is taken right away from his/her family, run through further batteries of tests and quarantined. What he described was pretty draconian, but apparently is effective.

Maybe now sick Italians are being seperated from their families, but it might be kinda too little, too late.

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Response to LudwigPastorius (Original post)

Fri Mar 13, 2020, 10:28 AM

9. must read kick

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