Republicans Lost Support in Every Special Election Since Trump Became President

[riversedge]

Lots of work left to do before Nov 6!!

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nytimes.com
Republicans Lost Support in Every Special Election Since Trump Became President
Denise Lu
4 minutes

Democratic energy has been on vivid display in a series of special elections since President Trump’s inauguration, including in strongly conservative areas where Republicans usually win elections easily, like Arizona’s Eighth District.

Republicans have fared far worse in recent special
congressional elections compared with previous elections.
Republican margin of victory
2012201420162017-18special elections0+20+40+60 pct. pts.

Arizona’s Eighth District

32-point shift in Tuesday’s election

Source: Offices of secretaries of state; Associated Press |Note: Data do not include races in which Republican candidates ran unopposed.

In a special House election on Tuesday, Debbie Lesko, a Republican, won the conservative Arizona district. But she won by less than six points, a much closer outcome compared to the victory margin of Trent Franks, who beat his opponent by 37 points in 2016.

In 2016, President Trump won the district in a landslide, but on Tuesday, Republican support dropped in nearly all precincts.

Shift from 2016 presidential election

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[greymattermom]

1. If you average the loss across all races, and assume the 2018 races would be similar

What is the outcome? Probably take both the House and Senate, but by how much?