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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTPM: Arizona a huge battleground up and down the ballot in November.
Strategists predicted anywhere from a four-point win to one in the low double digits. Even a 10-point loss would still be a double-digit shift towards Democrats, however. If their candidates can replicate that across the state this fall, Democrats would finally turn their long-time dream of proving Arizonas really a swing state into a reality.
There are signs thats already happening. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) leads all of her potential GOP opponents in a new poll of the race to replace retiring Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ). Sinema has a six-point advantage over Rep. Martha McSally (R-AZ), the front-runner in the primary and establishment favorite, and double-digit leads over the pair of hardline Republicans McSally is looking to defeat en route to a tough general election.
Republicans privately admit they have an uphill fight to retain the Democratic-leaning Tucson seat McSally is vacating or to beat freshman Rep. Tom OHalleran (D-AZ) in a district Trump narrowly carried last fall.
Even Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R), who once appeared a shoe-in for reelection, is looking like hell have a tough race this fall. And Republicans are praying that ailing Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) sticks around the Senate through the end of May, to avoid having to defend a second seat in the state this fall.
With all that in mind, Democrats are excited that Tipirneni is even in the race.
This is legitimately competitive, said Andy Barr, a Democratic strategist with deep Arizona ties. Whether she wins or comes close, that should scare the shit out of them.
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/strong-showing-in-az-house-race-has-dems-excited-about-fall-elections
FairDemocrat
(82 posts)I just started here yesterday, and I don't really know what is happening yet
RandySF
(59,614 posts)Cicada
(4,533 posts)To get re-elected in 1990 as Governor he ran a tv ad showing people from Mexico running across lanes of traffic like they were cock roaches running over the kitchen floor. It was a disgusting ad which kept him in office but flipped Hispanic voters to solid democrats. It was the end of the Republican Party in California. So Trump saying Mexico does not send us their best people, that they are rapists, some are all right, may do the same in Arizona. Each year the electorate in Arizona turns more Hispanic. I think it is only a matter of time before Arizona becomes at least a swing state.