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doc03

(35,300 posts)
2. And we are going to run up the debt $1.4 trillion for another tax cut
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 01:25 AM
Dec 2017

that is insane. I bet that $1.4 trillion turns out to be at least double what they say.

roamer65

(36,744 posts)
3. Thats why I predict $30T.
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 01:27 AM
Dec 2017

Deficits are going to be high the next few years...really high. I suspect in the range of $2T a year.

Igel

(35,282 posts)
5. We were going to run it up $12 trillion before the tax cut.
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 11:42 AM
Dec 2017

We can only talk about $1.4 trillion, though, because most of the $12 trillion was projected based on nothing that the current administration would be doing.

It also assumes no recession. From 2010 to 2027. That would be amazing.

doc03

(35,300 posts)
10. A good portion if not all of that $12 trillion debt comes from the Bush tax cut. Exactly
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 04:34 PM
Dec 2017

if we have a recession or another war who knows where it goes.

KWR65

(1,098 posts)
4. The debt doesn't matter. The US can pass a law to allow the gov to default on the debt
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 11:28 AM
Dec 2017

Too bad for the 1% that are holding all those bonds.

roamer65

(36,744 posts)
6. Problem is that would cause a dollar collapse.
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 02:35 PM
Dec 2017

Then all those with dollar denominated assets would pay for it, including many middle class people who have US gov’t bonds in their 401k’s.

ProfessorGAC

(64,877 posts)
8. Unfortunately, I Disagree
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 03:51 PM
Dec 2017

Any external lenders (for example, China) knew they were NEVER getting the money back
They just wanted the interest.
But, for them, their economies are so linked to the dollar, that such "zero interest" move puts them in a position where there are zero options
They won't participate in a dollar sinking sell because it would implode their own economies!
Until now, conservative economists haven't figured that out. (No surprise, since they're not the brightest crowd)
If they do, it becomes plan A and while there's nothing the creditors can do, foreign policy gets flushed.

KWR65

(1,098 posts)
12. Shrug. People that boy bonds are playing musical chairs. It isn't my problem.
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 05:36 PM
Dec 2017

Just like in 2008 people lost their money playing the stock market.

A HERETIC I AM

(24,363 posts)
9. That would have incredibly dire consequences
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 03:54 PM
Dec 2017

It’s bit just “the 1%” that hold those bonds. It’s almost every single central bank in the world as well as the Social Security trust fund.

Defaulting on Treasury debt would cause an international economic crisis to make 2008 look like a cakewalk

KWR65

(1,098 posts)
11. Shrug. After a couple years economies will recover.
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 05:34 PM
Dec 2017

I'm not responsible for other peoples bad investments.

gulliver

(13,168 posts)
13. There's nothing wrong with debt per se.
Sun Dec 31, 2017, 05:41 PM
Dec 2017

Our debt is someone else's secure savings, including the Social Security Fund's. Republicans are the main source of bad debt. They used hidden debt, for example, to finance their Iraq War debacle. Huge mistake. We went into debt to pay for self-destructive actions.

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