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A Trump Conviction Would Be a Game Changer
April 29, 2024 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 74 Comments
https://politicalwire.com/2024/04/29/a-trump-conviction-would-be-a-game-changer/
"SNIP...........
A new CNN poll published over the weekend was mostly bad news for Democrats because it showed Donald Trump with a 49% to 43% lead over Joe Biden.
But the survey also suggests Trumps coalition is very fragile.
The big takeaway is that 24% of Trumps voters would possibly abandon him if he were convicted in the hush money trial.
CNN has more on these voters:
They tend to be younger than other Trump supporters (64% are younger than 50 compared with 37% of those who would not reconsider), are less likely to be White (49% are people of color compared with 17% of those who would not reconsider), are more apt to report being Biden voters in 2020 (20% of them say they backed Biden in 2020 vs. 6% of those who would not reconsider) and are likelier to acknowledge that Biden legitimately won enough votes to win the presidency four years ago (63% vs. 22% among those who would not reconsider). They are also more apt to be political independents (49% vs. 31%) and ideologically moderate (50% vs. 38%).
............SNIP"
bucolic_frolic
(43,590 posts)but voters may be stupid enough to elect him.
thucythucy
(8,144 posts)are determined to keep it from happening before the election.
Lovie777
(12,434 posts)a highlight for Democracy, oh by the way corporate polling in my mind ain't real.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,726 posts)Its an outlier, plain and simple, so nobody should be picking little nuggets of meaning out of this humongous pile of shit.
Young voters prefer Trump over Biden by 11 points?
PCIntern
(25,665 posts)LiberalFighter
(51,415 posts)How many were polled in each state?
How many men and women in each state?
How many Democrats and Republicans in each state? How many independents?
How many college educated in each state?
How many employees and employers in each state?
Why are they polling as if it is determined by a popular vote instead of an electoral college?
Their poll consist of about 1,200 people? How do they decide how many from each state?
Is it about 24 each state or do they adjust based on voter turnout or population?
Do they adjust based on Covid deaths with fewer Republicans than in the past?
Talitha
(6,670 posts)Never been polled - not by phone, not in person, not by snailmail, not by email, not by text. And I wonder how many other Dems are in this category.
If I'm not mistaken, we've been crushing the Grifters On Parade in the voting booths. That's where my faith lies - GOTV!